Lightning vs. Panthers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 25

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers -- the former coming off a defeat, the latter a win -- will play on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET, at Amalie Arena in Tampa. Lightning (-115) versus Panthers (-105) appears pretty close, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay lost 3-2 in overtime on the road its last time out on April 23 against the Florida Panthers. Victor Hedman's two points (two assists) led the Lightning.

Florida won at home in its last game on April 23, 3-2 over the Tampa Bay Lightning. Carter Verhaeghe (one goal and one assist) and Sam Bennett (one goal and one assist) each had two points for the Panthers in that matchup.

Get ready for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top.

Lightning vs. Panthers Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Panthers 3 - Lightning 2
• Pick OU: Under 6 (Dunkel projecting 5.07 goals)
  

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Lightning vs. Panthers Moneylines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Panthers matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-115)
• Underdog: Panthers (-105)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have gone 30-20 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 29-18 (winning 61.7% of the time).
• The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 53.5% in this matchup.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have posted more than 6 goals in 56 of 84 games this season.

Panthers Betting Insights

• This season the Panthers have been an underdog 15 times, and won six, or 40.0%, of those games.
• Florida is 5-9 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.
• The Panthers have a 51.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Florida has played 37 games this season with more than 6 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 288 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the fifth-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• The Lightning have allowed 267 total goals (3.3 per game), ranking 22nd in league action in goals against.
• Its +21 goal differential ranks 12th in the league.
• The 71 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (on 248 power-play chances) lead the NHL.
• Tampa Bay's 28.63% power-play conversion rate paces the league.
• The Lightning have recorded five shorthanded goals this season (24th among NHL squads).
• Tampa Bay's 83.33% penalty-kill success rate is the fifth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins the ninth-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 51.8%.
• The Lightning's 12% shooting percentage leads the league.

Panthers Key Stats

• Florida's 265 goals on the season (3.2 per game) rank 11th in the NHL.
• The Panthers have the best defense in the NHL, giving up 198 total goals (only 2.4 per game).
• It has a league-best goal differential of +67.
• With 63 power-play goals (on 268 chances), the Panthers are sixth-best in the NHL.
• Florida scores on 23.51% of its power plays, No. 8 in the NHL.
• The Panthers have eight shorthanded goals (10th in NHL).
• Florida's has the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.47%).
• Florida wins 51.3% of faceoffs, 11th-ranked in the NHL.
• The 9.6% shooting percentage of the Panthers is 23rd in the league.