Liberty vs. Florida Atlantic Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 9

The Liberty Flames (2-0) host the Florida Atlantic Owls (2-0) at Liberty Arena, starting at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 9, 2025. The Owls are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total in the matchup is set at 152.5.

In its last time out, Liberty won on Friday 90-75 over Charleston (SC). Colin Porter scored a team-best 23 points for Liberty in the victory. Florida Atlantic is coming off of a 94-77 victory against Charleston (SC) in its most recent game on Saturday. Kanaan Carlyle put up 14 points, four rebounds and two assists for Florida Atlantic.

Liberty vs. Florida Atlantic Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Liberty -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Liberty -353
• Moneyline underdog: Florida Atlantic +279
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Liberty vs. Florida Atlantic

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Liberty vs. Florida Atlantic

• Last year, Liberty's games went over 152.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, six (out of 32) times.
• A total of 16 Florida Atlantic's games last season (out of 32) had more than 152.5 total points scored.
• The Flames and the Owls combined to average 2.1 more points per game a season ago than the total of 152.5 set for this matchup.
• The Flames and the Owls saw their opponents average a combined 13.5 fewer points per game last season than the point total of 152.5 set in this matchup.
• The average point total for Liberty's games last year was 13.2 fewer points than the total of 152.5 in this matchup.
• The average over/under for Florida Atlantic's games in 2024 was 1.8 more points than the point total of 152.5 in this outing.

Betting the Spread: Liberty vs. Florida Atlantic

• Liberty compiled a 21-11-0 ATS record last year.
• When playing as at least 7.5-point favorites last season, the Flames had an ATS record of 8-6.
• Florida Atlantic covered 12 times in 32 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Owls did not cover the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more last year (in three opportunities).
• Liberty was 9-3 overall, and 6-6 against the spread, at home last season.
• Last season, as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home, Liberty was 5-6 ATS.
• On the road last season, Florida Atlantic was 6-7 overall and 4-9 against the spread.
• Florida Atlantic was unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as a 7.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Liberty vs. Florida Atlantic

• Liberty won 20 of the 26 games it was the moneyline favorite last season (76.9%).
• The Flames finished 8-3 last year (winning 72.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -353 or shorter.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, Liberty has an implied win probability of 77.9%.
• Florida Atlantic won one of the eight games it played as underdogs last season.
• Last season, the Owls were at least a +279 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
• The implied probability of a win by Florida Atlantic, based on the moneyline, is 26.4%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Liberty vs. Florida Atlantic

• Pick ATS: Florida Atlantic (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (152.5)
  
• Prediction: Florida Atlantic 72 - Liberty 71