Kentucky vs. North Carolina Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 2
01 December 2025

The No. 18 Kentucky Wildcats (5-2) host the No. 16 North Carolina Tar Heels (6-1) at Rupp Arena, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 2, 2025. The Wildcats are 7.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 160.5.
In its last matchup on Wednesday, Kentucky claimed a 104-54 win over Tennessee Tech. Denzel Aberdeen put up 16 points, two rebounds and four assists for Kentucky. North Carolina fell in its most recent game 74-58 against Michigan State on Thursday. Caleb Wilson put up 18 points, seven rebounds and one assist for North Carolina.
Kentucky vs. North Carolina Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, December 2, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
- Spread favorite: Kentucky -7.5
- Moneyline favorite: Kentucky -316
- Moneyline underdog: North Carolina +253
- Over/Under: 160.5 points
How to watch Kentucky vs. North Carolina
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Kentucky vs. North Carolina
- Kentucky and its opponents have combined to go over Tuesday's total of 160.5 points twice this season.
- This season, North Carolina has played two games with a combined score higher than 160.5 points.
- The total for the contest of 160.5 is 12.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wildcats (89.9 points per game) and the Tar Heels (83.3 points per game).
- These two teams surrender a combined 128.8 points per game, 31.7 points less than this contest's over/under.
- This season the average over/under for Kentucky's games is 153.0 points, 7.5 fewer than the over/under of 160.5 set for this contest.
- North Carolina's games have an average over/under of 149.0 points this season, 11.5 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.
Betting the Spread: Kentucky vs. North Carolina
- In Kentucky's seven games this season, it has four wins against the spread.
- So far this season, the Wildcats have been installed as favorites by a 7.5-point margin or more five times and are 4-1 ATS in those contests.
- In North Carolina's seven games this season, it has four wins against the spread.
- Kentucky is 5-0 overall, and 4-1 against the spread, at home.
- As a 7.5-point favorite or greater at home, Kentucky is 4-1 ATS.
Betting the Moneyline: Kentucky vs. North Carolina
- Kentucky has won four of the five games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
- The Wildcats have entered four games this season favored by -316 or more, and won each of those games.
- The implied probability of a win from Kentucky, based on the moneyline, is 76%.
- North Carolina was defeated in the one game it played as the moneyline underdog this season.
- This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Tar Heels this season with a +253 moneyline set for this game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that North Carolina has a 28.3% chance of pulling out a win.
