Iowa State vs. Iowa Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 11
11 December 2025

The No. 4 Iowa State Cyclones (9-0) host the Iowa Hawkeyes (8-1) at James H. Hilton Coliseum, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 11, 2025. The Cyclones are 10.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 141.5.
Iowa State won its most recent matchup 81-58 against Purdue on Saturday. In the win, Milan Momcilovic led Iowa State with 20 points. Iowa is coming off of an 83-64 win against Maryland in its last outing on Saturday. Bennett Stirtz scored 25 points in Iowa's victory, leading the team.
Iowa State vs. Iowa Odds and Game Time
- When: Thursday, December 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: James H. Hilton Coliseum in Ames, Iowa
- Spread favorite: Iowa State -10.5
- Moneyline favorite: Iowa State -671
- Moneyline underdog: Iowa +480
- Over/Under: 141.5 points
How to watch Iowa State vs. Iowa
- TV Channel: FOX Sports 1
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Iowa State vs. Iowa
- Iowa State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (141.5 points) six times this season.
- There have been six Iowa games that ended with a combined score over 141.5 points this season.
- Together, the two teams combine for 174.5 points per game, 33.0 points more than the total of 141.5 for this contest.
- The 127.2 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 14.3 fewer than the 141.5 over/under in this contest.
- This season, the average over/under for Iowa State's games is 159.1 points, 17.6 more than the total of 141.5 points set for this contest.
- Iowa's games have an average over/under of 142.4 points this season, 0.9 more points than the over/under for this contest.
Betting the Spread: Iowa State vs. Iowa
- Iowa State is 7-2-0 against the spread this year.
- So far this season, the Cyclones have been installed as favorites by a 10.5-point margin or more five times and are 4-1 ATS in those matchups.
- In Iowa's nine games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
- Iowa State is 3-1 against the spread, and 4-0 overall, at home this season.
- As a 10.5-point favorite or greater at home, Iowa State is 3-1 ATS.
Betting the Moneyline: Iowa State vs. Iowa
- Iowa State has been the moneyline favorite in six games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
- The Cyclones have played as a favorite of -671 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 87% chance of a victory for Iowa State.
- Iowa was defeated in the one game it played as the moneyline underdog this season.
- This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Hawkeyes this season with a +480 moneyline set for this game.
- Iowa has an implied victory probability of 17.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Dunkel Index Prediction for Iowa State vs. Iowa
- Pick ATS: Iowa State (- 10.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (141.5)
- Prediction: Iowa State 79 - Iowa 58
