Braves vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 23

Jackson Merrill takes a two-game homer streak into the San Diego Padres' game against the Atlanta Braves at 12:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, at Truist Park. Chris Sale (10-6, 2.06 ERA) gets the start for the Braves, who are 59-42 this season and first in the NL East. Kyle Hart (0-2, 5.66 ERA) is starting for the Padres, who are 50-52 and third in the NL West.

At home, the Braves are favored to win on the moneyline (-274) over the Padres (+218). The game has an over/under set at 8 runs.

Braves vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, July 23, 2026
• Game time: 12:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park
• Favorite: Braves (-274)
• Underdog: Padres (+218)
• Over/under: 8

How to Watch Braves vs. Padres

• TV Channel: BravesVsn and SDPA
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Braves vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

• The Braves have won 47 of the 74 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (63.5%).
• San Diego has been victorious in 27, or 45.8%, of the 59 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Atlanta has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -274.
• The Padres have played as an underdog of +218 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Braves a 73.3% chance to win.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 31.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Braves have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 100 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 49 of those games (49-46-5).
• Games involving San Diego have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 46 of 102 chances this season.
• The Braves have collected a 54-46-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Padres are 55-47-0 against the spread in their 102 games that had a posted line this season.