Incarnate Word vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 5

The Incarnate Word Cardinals (8-6, 3-2 Southland) visit the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (5-9, 1-4 Southland) at UTRGV Fieldhouse, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 5, 2026. The Cardinals are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 145.5 points.

Incarnate Word took care of business in its last game 73-56 against Houston Christian on Saturday. Tahj Staveskie scored a team-leading 27 points for Incarnate Word in the victory. UT Rio Grande Valley lost its last outing 63-59 against Texas A&M-CC on Saturday. Jaylen Washington totaled 15 points, two rebounds and seven assists for UT Rio Grande Valley.

Incarnate Word vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, January 5, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: UTRGV Fieldhouse in Edinburg, Texas
• Spread favorite: Incarnate Word -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Incarnate Word -111
• Moneyline underdog: UT Rio Grande Valley -108
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch Incarnate Word vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Incarnate Word vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• Incarnate Word and its opponents have combined to exceed Monday's over/under of 145.5 points six times this season.
• This season, six games UT Rio Grande Valley has played finished with a combined score over 145.5 points.
• The Cardinals average 82.1 points per game against the Vaqueros' 75.2, totaling 11.8 points over the contest's over/under of 145.5.
• This matchup's over/under is 2.7 fewer points than the 142.8 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Incarnate Word has a 154.3 average over/under in its games this season, 8.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 0.4 points lower than the average over/under in UT Rio Grande Valley's games this season (145.9 points).

Betting the Spread: Incarnate Word vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• Against the spread, Incarnate Word is 7-4-0 this year.
• The Cardinals have been favored by 1.5 points or more six times this season and are 3-3 ATS in those matchups.
• In UT Rio Grande Valley's 12 games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
• The Vaqueros are 3-3 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
• At home this season, UT Rio Grande Valley has one win against the spread and is 1-4 overall.
• At home, UT Rio Grande Valley has one win ATS (1-4) as a 1.5-point underdog or greater.
• In away games, Incarnate Word has two wins against the spread and are 0-5 overall.
• Incarnate Word is winless ATS (0-2) on the road as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Incarnate Word vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• This season, Incarnate Word has been moneyline favorites six times and won four of those games.
• The Cardinals have entered six games this season favored by -111 or more and are 4-2 in those contests.
• Incarnate Word has a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in six games this year and has walked away with the win one time (16.7%) in those games.
• The Vaqueros have a mark of 1-5 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of -108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UT Rio Grande Valley has a 51.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Incarnate Word vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• Pick ATS: Incarnate Word (- 1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)
  
• Prediction: Incarnate Word 75 - UT Rio Grande Valley 66