Texans vs. Colts Week 18 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

Having taken eight straight, the Houston Texans (11-5) will face the Indianapolis Colts (8-8). The Texans are heavy favorites (-10.5). An over/under of 38.5 points has been set for the matchup.

The Texans rank 16th in points scored this year (22.9 points per game), but they've been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 16.6 points allowed per game. With 345.4 total yards per game on offense, the Colts rank 11th in the NFL in 2025. Defensively, they rank 24th, surrendering 350.5 total yards per game.

Texans vs. Colts Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Houston, Texas
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Total: 38.5 points
• Spread: Texans -10.5
• Moneyline: Texans (-649), Colts (+470)

How to watch Texans vs. Colts

• TV Channel: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Texans vs. Colts

• The Texans and their opponents have gone over 38.5 combined points in eight of 16 games this season.
• Houston and its opponent have combined to go over the point total five out of 16 times this season.
• The Colts have played 14 games this season that ended with a combined score over 38.5 points.
• So far this year, eight of Indianapolis' 16 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• These two teams rack up a combined 50.2 points per game, 11.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.
• Opponents of these teams score 40 points per game combined, 1.5 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Texans vs. Colts

• Houston has won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
• Houston has covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites.
• The Colts have put together an 8-8-0 record against the spread this year.
• Indianapolis has covered the spread when playing as at least 10.5-point underdogs in its only opportunity this season.
• The Texans are 5-3 against the spread, and 6-2 overall, at home.
• At home, as 10.5-point favorites or greater, Houston has one win ATS (1-1).
• The Colts are 4-3 against the spread, and 2-5 overall, in away games.
• Indianapolis is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 10.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Texans vs. Colts

• Houston has won 75% of the games this season when it was the moneyline favorite (6-2).
• This season, the Colts have won two out of the seven games in which they've been the underdog.
• Houston has played as a moneyline favorite of -649 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
• Indianapolis has played as an underdog of +470 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Texans an 86.6% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Texans vs. Colts

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