Fresno State vs. South Carolina Upstate Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 5
05 November 2025

The Fresno State Bulldogs (1-0) host the South Carolina Upstate Spartans (0-1) at Save Mart Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. The Spartans are 9.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 165.5 points.
Last time out, Fresno State won on Monday 88-51 against Fresno Pacific. In the victory, Jake Heidbreder led Fresno State with 19 points. South Carolina Upstate lost its most recent outing 87-75 against Cal Baptist on Monday. Karmani Gregory scored 22 points in South Carolina Upstate's loss, leading the team.
Fresno State vs. South Carolina Upstate Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, November 5, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Save Mart Center in Fresno, California
- Spread favorite: Fresno State -9.5
- Moneyline favorite: Fresno State -541
- Moneyline underdog: South Carolina Upstate +400
- Over/Under: 165.5 points
How to watch Fresno State vs. South Carolina Upstate
- TV Channel: MW Network
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Fresno State vs. South Carolina Upstate
- Fresno State and its opponent combined to score over 165.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in seven of 32 games last year.
- Last season, nine of South Carolina Upstate's 29 matchups went over 165.5 total points scored.
- The Bulldogs and the Spartans combined to average 20.0 fewer points per game a season ago than the total of 165.5 set for this matchup.
- Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 1.3 fewer points per game (164.2) last season than this matchup's over/under of 165.5 points.
- The average point total for Fresno State's games last year was 14.1 fewer points than the total of 165.5 in this matchup.
- The average point total for South Carolina Upstate in 2024 was 7.2 points fewer than this game's over/under.
Betting the Spread: Fresno State vs. South Carolina Upstate
- Fresno State went 16-14-2 ATS last season.
- The Bulldogs did not cover the spread last season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
- South Carolina Upstate went 12-17-0 ATS last season.
- When playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs last season, the Spartans had an ATS record of 8-6.
- At home last season, Fresno State was 5-9 overall and 9-3-2 against the spread.
- Fresno State was winless ATS (0-1) as a 9.5-point favorite or greater at home last year.
- Last year away from home, South Carolina Upstate was 8-8 against the spread and 2-14 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Fresno State vs. South Carolina Upstate
- Fresno State won all four of the games in which it was favored on the moneyline last season.
- The Bulldogs played as a moneyline favorite of -541 or shorter in only one game last season, which they won.
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives Fresno State an 84.4% chance to win.
- Last season, South Carolina Upstate was the underdog 29 times and won three, or 10.3%, of those games.
- Last season, the Spartans were at least a +400 underdog on the moneyline 12 times, losing each of those contests.
- South Carolina Upstate has a 20.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Dunkel Index Prediction for Fresno State vs. South Carolina Upstate
- Pick ATS: South Carolina Upstate (+ 9.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (165.5)
- Prediction: Fresno State 77 - South Carolina Upstate 73
