Fresno State vs. Nevada Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Oct. 4

The Fresno State Bulldogs (4-1) are 13.5-point favorites when they host the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-3) in an MWC matchup on Saturday, October 4, 2025 at Valley Children's Stadium.

The Bulldogs beat the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, 23-21, in their last contest.

In their most recent game, the Wolf Pack lost versus the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 31-16.

Fresno State vs. Nevada Predictions

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Fresno State Bulldogs and Nevada Wolf Pack, computer-derived against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Bulldogs (- 13.5)
• Pick OU: Under (45.5)
  
• Prediction: Bulldogs 28 - Wolf Pack 10

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Fresno State vs. Nevada Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Bulldogs-Wolf Pack matchup.

• Fresno State Moneyline: -524
• Nevada Moneyline: +392

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Fresno State Betting Insights

• Fresno State has been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won.
• Fresno State has never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -524 or shorter.
• In three of five games this season, the Bulldogs and their opponents have combined to score more than 45.5 points.
• The average point total in Bulldogs contests this year is 48.8, 3.3 more than this matchup's over/under.
• The Bulldogs are the 47th-highest scoring team in college football this year. The Wolf Pack have scored the 133rd-most points.

Nevada Betting Insights

• Nevada has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
• Nevada has played as an underdog of +392 or more once this season and lost that game.
• Nevada and its opponents have combined to score more than 45.5 points twice this season.
• The average over/under for Nevada's contests this season is 53.5, eight more points than this game's point total.

Watch Fresno State vs. Nevada on Fubo.

Key Stats for Fresno State vs. Nevada

• Over their last four meetings, Fresno State has collected four wins versus Nevada.
• In their past four meetings, each team has covered two times with those games outscoring the total on two occasions.
• The Bulldogs are putting up 372.4 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 81st in the FBS. Defensively, they rank 43rd, surrendering 320.6 yards per contest.
• Fresno State is putting up 32.8 points per game offensively this season (52nd in the FBS), and is surrendering 20 points per game (45th) on the defensive side of the ball.
• With 339.3 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Wolf Pack rank 109th in the FBS in 2025. On defense, they rank 85th, surrendering 380.8 total yards per game.
• Nevada's offense has been bottom-25 this season, posting 15 points per game, which ranks sixth-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 94th with 27 points ceded per contest.