Fever vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 22

Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (5-12) match up against Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever (9-7) on Monday, June 22, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, at 8 p.m. ET on USA, AZFamily, WTHR-13, and Fever Direct.

Indiana lost to Atlanta 113-96 in its last game. Caitlin Clark led the way with 26 points and seven assists, followed by Mitchell with 16 points.

Phoenix fell at home to Seattle 73-93 last time out, and were led by Valeriane Ayayi (18 PTS, 10 REB, 57.1 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) and Copper (17 PTS, 7 REB, 40 FG%, 2-8 from 3PT).

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Fever vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Fever-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Fever (-7.5)
• Total: 177.5
• Fever Moneyline: -290
• Mercury Moneyline: +225

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Fever Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Fever a 74.4% chance to win.
• Indiana is 9-4 in games as a moneyline favorite (winning 69.2% of those games).
• The Fever are 6-10-0 ATS this season.
• In eight games this season, Indiana and its opponents have gone over 177.5 total points.
• The Fever have an average total of 174.6 in their contests this year, 2.9 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Mercury based on the moneyline is 30.8%.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 11 times this season and won twice.
• The Mercury have covered six times in 17 matchups with a spread this season.
• Phoenix has played four games this season that have gone over 177.5 combined points scored.
• The average over/under for Mercury outings this season is 167.5, 10.0 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Fever vs. Mercury

• Indiana records 92.4 points per game, 6.5 more points than the 85.9 Phoenix allows.
• The Fever have a 6-5 record when putting up more than 85.9 points.
• During the 2026 season, Indiana scores 13.7 more points per home game than on the road (98.4 at home, 84.7 on the road), and is also allowing 3.2 more points per home game compared to road games (91.1 at home, 87.9 on the road).
• Phoenix's 82.5 points per game are 7.2 fewer points than the 89.7 Indiana gives up to opponents.
• The Mercury have gone 3-2 when they've scored more than 89.7 points.
• At home Phoenix puts up 87.6 points per game, 9.7 more than away (77.9). On defense, it gives up 93.4 points per game at home, 14.1 more than on the road (79.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.