Fever vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 22

A pair of the WNBA's top scorers -- Kelsey Mitchell (fourth, 20.8 points per game) and Kahleah Copper (eighth, 19.1) -- take the court when the Indiana Fever (9-7) host the Phoenix Mercury (5-12) on Monday, June 22, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on USA, AZFamily, WTHR-13, and Fever Direct.

In Indiana's last game, it lost to Atlanta 113-96. The Fever were led by Caitlin Clark, who finished with 26 points and seven assists, and Mitchell, with 16 points.

In its previous game, Phoenix was a winner at home over Seattle 93-73, with Valeriane Ayayi (18 PTS, 10 REB, 57.1 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) and Copper (17 PTS, 7 REB, 40 FG%, 2-8 from 3PT) leading the way.

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Fever vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the latest betting lines for the Fever-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Fever (-6.5)
• Total: 177.5
• Fever Moneyline: -265
• Mercury Moneyline: +210

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Fever Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Fever's implied win probability is 72.6%.
• Indiana has won nine of the 13 games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (69.2%).
• The Fever have put together a 6-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Indiana and its opponents have scored more than 177.5 points in eight of 16 games this season.
• Fever games this season have had an average of 174.6 points, 2.9 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have a 32.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• This season, Phoenix has been the underdog 11 times and won two of those games.
• The Mercury have won six games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Phoenix has played four games this season that finished with a point total higher than 177.5 points.
• The average over/under for Mercury matchups this season is 167.5, 10.0 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Fever vs. Mercury

• Indiana records 92.4 points per game, 6.5 more points than the 85.9 Phoenix allows.
• The Fever have a 6-5 record when putting up more than 85.9 points.
• Indiana's offense has been drastically better at home (98.4 PPG) compared to its play on the road (84.7 PPG). However, its defense has been worse in home games (91.1 PPG allowed) compared to road games (87.9 PPG allowed).
• Phoenix's 82.5 points per game are 7.2 fewer points than the 89.7 Indiana gives up to opponents.
• The Mercury have put together a 3-2 record in games when they've scored more than 89.7 points.
• Phoenix puts up 87.6 points per game at home, 9.7 more than on the road (77.9). On defense, it allows 93.4 per game, 14.1 more than on the road (79.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.