Lions vs. Cowboys Week 14 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
02 December 2025

Having won three straight, the Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1) will play the Detroit Lions (7-5). Despite that, the Lions are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The game has an over/under of 54.5 points.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Lions have been a top-five unit, ranking third-best in the NFL by compiling 376.3 yards per game. They rank 14th on defense (316.2 yards allowed per game). The Cowboys rank second-worst in points allowed per game on defense (28.5), but at least they've been surging on offense, ranking second-best in points per game (29.3).
Lions vs. Cowboys Odds and Game Time
- Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- City: Detroit, Michigan
- Venue: Ford Field
- Total: 54.5 points
- Spread: Lions -3
- Moneyline: Lions (-170), Cowboys (+142)
How to watch Lions vs. Cowboys
- TV Channel: FOX (WJBK - Detroit, MI)
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Lions vs. Cowboys
- The Lions and their opponents have gone over 54.5 combined points in six of 12 games this season.
- In Detroit's 12 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times.
- Cowboys games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 54.5 points in seven of 12 outings.
- Dallas and its opponent have combined to go over the point total eight out of 12 times this year.
- The teams average 58.5 points per game combined, 4.0 more points than this game's total.
- Opponents of these teams combine to score 51.3 points per game, 3.2 fewer points than this matchup's total.
Betting the Spread: Lions vs. Cowboys
- Detroit has compiled a 6-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
- When playing as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Lions have an ATS record of 5-2.
- The Cowboys have compiled a 7-5-0 ATS record so far this season.
- Dallas has been an underdog by 3 points or more five times this year, and covered the spread in four of those games.
- At home this year, the Lions are 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall.
- As 3-point favorites or more at home, Detroit is 3-2 ATS.
- The Cowboys are 3-3 against the spread, and 2-4 overall, away from home.
- Dallas has one win ATS (1-1) as 3-point underdogs or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Lions vs. Cowboys
- Detroit has won 75% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (6-2).
- This season, the Cowboys have been the underdog six times and won three of those games.
- Detroit is 6-1 (winning 85.7% of its games) when it have played as a moneyline favorite of -170 or shorter.
- Dallas has a record of 1-2-1 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +142 on the moneyline.
- Based on this game's moneyline, the Lions have an implied win probability of 63.0%.
Dunkel Prediction for Lions vs. Cowboys
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Lions (-3) | Under (54.5) | Lions 29 - Cowboys 21 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
