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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Nov. 11

Game day: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
Game time: 8 p.m. ET
Location: Memphis, Tennessee
Arena: FedExForum
Total: 230.5 points
Spread: Nuggets -4.5
Moneyline: Nuggets (-168), Grizzlies (+140)

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11 November 2026 By Data Skrive

The Memphis Grizzlies (7-3) will host the Denver Nuggets (5-4) after losing three straight home games.

The Nuggets are currently 4.5-point favorites over the Grizzlies. The game has an over/under of 230.5.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds and Game Time

In four of nine games this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have combined to score more than 230.5 points.
The Grizzlies and their opponents have combined to score more than 230.5 points in three of 10 games this season.
These two teams score 231.5 points per game combined, 1.0 more than this game's total.
Opponents of these two teams combine to score 223.6 points per game, 6.9 fewer points than this contest's over/under.

Denver is 4-5-0 ATS this season.
The Nuggets have an ATS record of 4-3 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season.
The Grizzlies have won seven games against the spread this year, while failing to cover three times.
Memphis has been an underdog by 4.5 points or more three times this year, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
At home this year, the Grizzlies have two wins against the spread and is 2-3 overall.
At home, Memphis has one win ATS (1-2) as a 4.5-point underdog or more.
Away from home, the Nuggets are 3-2 against the spread, and 3-2 overall.
Away from home, as 4.5-point favorites or more, Denver is 3-0 ATS.

The Nuggets are 5-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 71.4% of those games).
The Grizzlies have won two of the three games they've played as underdogs this season.
When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -168 or shorter, Denver has gone 5-1 (83.3% win percentage).
Memphis has played as an underdog of +140 or more once this season and won that game.
The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Nuggets a 62.7% chance to win.