Cowboys vs. Commanders Week 17 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

Having lost three straight, the Dallas Cowboys (6-8-1) will face the Washington Commanders (4-11). Despite that, the Cowboys are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5). The game has an over/under of 51.5 points.

While the Cowboys rank second-worst in the NFL in scoring defense with 30.3 points allowed per game, it's been a different situation on the other side of the ball, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL (28.3 points per game). The Commanders rank 20th in total yards per game (321.1), but they've been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 383.1 total yards surrendered per contest.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Landover, Maryland
• Venue: Northwest Stadium
• Total: 51.5 points
• Spread: Cowboys -7.5
• Moneyline: Cowboys (-340), Commanders (+270)

How to watch Cowboys vs. Commanders

• TV Channel: CBS (WUSADT – Washington, DC)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• The Cowboys and their opponents have gone over 51.5 combined points nine times this season.
• Dallas games have gone over the point total 10 out of 15 times this season.
• The Commanders have combined with their opponents to score more than 51.5 points in six of 15 games this season.
• In 2025, eight Washington games have hit the over.
• The teams average 48.9 points per game combined, 2.6 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• Opponents of these teams average 57.2 combined points per game, 5.7 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• Dallas has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover eight times.
• The Commanders have compiled a 5-10-0 record against the spread this year.
• Washington has been an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year three times and failed to cover in all three.
• At home this year, the Commanders are 2-5 overall and 3-4 against the spread.
• At home, Washington is winless ATS (0-2) as 7.5-point underdogs or more.
• The Cowboys are 2-5 overall, and 3-4 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• Dallas has been favored on the moneyline eight total times this season. They've gone 3-5 in those games.
• This season, the Commanders have been the underdog 11 times and won two of those games.
• Dallas has not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -340 or shorter.
• Washington has been at least a +270 moneyline underdog three times this season, but lost all of those games.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Cowboys' implied win probability is 77.3%.

Dunkel Prediction for Cowboys vs. Commanders

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