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Guardians vs. Pirates Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 17

17 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates will aim to keep a three-game win streak going when they visit the Cleveland Guardians at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday. Gavin Williams (10-4, 3.81 ERA) will start for the Guardians, who are 51-46 this season and second in the AL Central. Jared Jones (1-1, 4.37 ERA) is starting for the Pirates, who are 50-47 and fourth in the NL Central.

With the Pirates (+108) visiting, the Guardians (-132) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The over/under in this contest is set at 7.5.

Guardians vs. Pirates Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, July 17, 2026
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field
  • Favorite: Guardians (-132)
  • Underdog: Pirates (+108)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. Pirates

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Guardians vs. Pirates: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Guardians have been the moneyline favorite 53 total times this season. They've gone 28-25 in those games.
  • Pittsburgh has been underdogs in 43 games this season and has come away with the win 18 times (41.9%) in those contests.
  • Cleveland has entered 22 games this season favored by -132 or more and is 12-10 in those contests.
  • The Pirates have a mark of 11-14 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Guardians vs. Pirates: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 97 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-52-0).
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of its 97 opportunities.
  • The Guardians have collected a 49-48-0 record ATS this season (covering 50.5% of the time).
  • The Pirates have posted a record of 50-47-0 against the spread this season.
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