Mercury vs. Sun: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 17

The Phoenix Mercury (8-17) will attempt to break a four-game losing streak when hosting the Connecticut Sun (6-18) on Friday, July 17, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center. This game is at 10 p.m. ET on ION.

Phoenix suffered defeat by a final score of 104-100 in its last game against Minnesota. Leading the way on offense for the Mercury was Kahleah Copper, who ended the game with 19 points. Alyssa Thomas posted 19 points, eight rebounds and 12 assists.

Connecticut were winners at home over Portland, 90-87, in its last game. Its top performers were Aaliyah Edwards (21 PTS, 8 REB, 69.2 FG%) and Brittney Griner (20 PTS, 6 AST, 2 BLK, 72.7 FG%).

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Mercury vs. Sun Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the latest betting lines for the Mercury-Sun matchup.

• Favorite: Mercury (-4.5)
• Total: 163.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -184
• Sun Moneyline: +148

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Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Mercury a 64.8% chance to win.
• Phoenix has been favored on the moneyline nine times this season. They've gone 4-5 in those games.
• The Mercury have put together a 10-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• In 15 of 25 games this season, Phoenix and its opponents have combined to total more than 163.5 points.
• The average point total in Mercury outings this year is 169.1, 5.6 more points than this game's over/under.

Sun Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Sun based on the moneyline is 40.3%.
• Connecticut has entered the game as the underdog 21 times this season and won five, or 23.8%, of those games.
• The Sun have compiled a 13-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• Connecticut has played 17 games this season that finished with a combined score over 163.5 points.
• The average over/under for Sun matchups this season is 165.9, 2.4 more points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Sun

• Phoenix scores only 3.1 fewer points per game (83.3) than Connecticut gives up (86.4).
• When the Mercury put up more than 86.4 points, they are 6-5.
• Phoenix's offense has been much better in home games (86 PPG) compared to its play on the road (81.1 PPG). However, its defense has been worse at home (89.4 PPG allowed) compared to away games (85.6 PPG allowed).
• Connecticut's 79.7 points per game are 7.6 fewer points than the 87.3 Phoenix gives up to opponents.
• When they score more than 87.3 points, the Sun are 3-3.
• In 2026, Connecticut is scoring more points at home (81.4 per game) than away (77.4). And it is giving up fewer points at home (85) than on the road (88.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.