Mercury vs. Sun: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 17

The Phoenix Mercury (8-17) will attempt to break a four-game losing streak when hosting the Connecticut Sun (6-18) on Friday, July 17, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center. This matchup is at 10 p.m. ET on ION.

In Phoenix's last game, it lost to Minnesota 104-100. The Mercury were led by Kahleah Copper, who finished with 26 points, and Alyssa Thomas, with 19 points, eight rebounds and 12 assists.

In its previous game, Connecticut defeated Portland, 90-87, at home. Its top scorers were Aaliyah Edwards (21 PTS, 8 REB, 69.2 FG%) and Brittney Griner (20 PTS, 6 AST, 2 BLK, 72.7 FG%).

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Mercury vs. Sun Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Mercury-Sun game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-5.5)
• Total: 163.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -220
• Sun Moneyline: +176

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Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have an implied moneyline win probability of 68.8% in this contest.
• Phoenix has won 44.4% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (4-5).
• The Mercury have covered 10 times in 25 games with a spread this season.
• Phoenix and its opponents have gone over 163.5 combined points in 15 of 25 games this season.
• The average total in Mercury outings this year is 169.1, 5.6 more than this matchup's over/under.

Sun Betting Insights

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Sun have a 36.2% chance to win.
• This season, Connecticut has been the underdog 21 times and won five, or 23.8%, of those games.
• The Sun have compiled a 13-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Connecticut has played 17 games this season that ended with a combined score above 163.5 points.
• The average over/under for Sun matchups this season is 165.9, 2.4 more points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Sun

• Phoenix scores just 3.1 fewer points per game (83.3) than Connecticut allows (86.4).
• When the Mercury put up more than 86.4 points, they are 6-5.
• Phoenix's offense has been much better at home (86.0 PPG) compared to its play on the road (81.1 PPG). Meanwhile, its defense has been worse in home games (89.4 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (85.6 PPG allowed).
• Connecticut puts up 7.6 fewer points per game (79.7) than Phoenix give up (87.3).
• When they score more than 87.3 points, the Sun are 3-3.
• Connecticut puts up more points per game at home (81.4) than away (77.4), and also gives up fewer points at home (85.0) than away (88.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.