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Guardians vs. Royals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 27

27 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The Kansas City Royals carry a three-game losing streak into a contest versus the Cleveland Guardians, at 3:10 p.m. ET on Sunday. Parker Messick (12-9, 2.55 ERA) gets the start for the Guardians, who are 85-76 this season and first in the AL Central. Daniel Lynch (6-6, 4.13 ERA) is expected to start for the Royals, who are 68-93 and fifth in the AL Central.

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Guardians are favored to win (-123) over the Royals (+101). The contest has a total set at 8.5.

Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, September 27, 2026
  • Game time: 3:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Kauffman Stadium
  • Favorite: Guardians (-123)
  • Underdog: Royals (+101)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. Royals

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Guardians vs. Royals: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Guardians have gone 55-45 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 55% of those games).
  • Kansas City has been pegged as an underdog in 107 games this year and has walked away with the win 41 times (38.3%) in those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 42-32, a 56.8% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Royals have a win-loss record of 28-50 when favored by +101 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Guardians have a 55.2% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Guardians vs. Royals: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 161 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-82-2).
  • Games involving Kansas City have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 73 of 161 chances this season.
  • The Guardians have covered 49.1% of their games this season, going 79-82-0 ATS.
  • The Royals are 76-85-0 against the spread in their 161 games that had a posted line this season.
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