Bills vs. Jets Week 18 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

Having dropped one straight, the New York Jets (3-13) will play the Buffalo Bills (11-5). The Bills are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5). The matchup has an over/under of 37.5 points.

From an offensive standpoint, the Bills rank sixth in the NFL with 27.9 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 12th in points allowed (303.8 points allowed per contest). The Jets have lots of room to improve, as they rank fifth-worst in points per game (18.3) this season and third-worst in points allowed per game (29.3).

Bills vs. Jets Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Orchard Park, New York
• Venue: Highmark Stadium
• Total: 37.5 points
• Spread: Bills -8.5
• Moneyline: Bills (-426), Jets (+330)

How to watch Bills vs. Jets

• TV Channel: CBS (WROC-Rochester, NY)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Bills vs. Jets

• Bills games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 37.5 points 14 times.
• So far this season, eight of Buffalo's 16 games have hit the over.
• The Jets have played 12 games this season that have had more than 37.5 combined points scored.
• New York and its opponent have combined to go over the point total 10 out of 16 times this season.
• These two teams score a combined 46.2 points per game, 8.7 more points than this matchup's point total.
• Opponents of these teams put up 51.6 combined points per game, 14.1 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Bills vs. Jets

• Buffalo has covered the spread seven times in 16 games this season.
• Buffalo has not covered the spread this season (0-3 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
• The Jets have covered eight times in 16 matchups with a spread this season.
• New York has covered the spread twice as an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
• The Bills are 6-2 overall, and 3-5 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Buffalo is winless ATS (0-2) as 8.5-point favorites or more.
• Away from home, the Jets are 1-6 overall and 4-3 against the spread.
• New York has two wins ATS (2-1) on the road as 8.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Bills vs. Jets

• Buffalo has won 64.3% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (9-5).
• The Jets have won three, or 21.4%, of the 14 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Buffalo is 3-1 (winning 75% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -426 or shorter.
• This season, New York has been at least a +330 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Bills have an implied win probability of 81.0%.

Dunkel Prediction for Bills vs. Jets

For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.