Bruins vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 22

The Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a defeat -- will meet on Monday at 7:00 PM ET, at TD Garden in Boston. Bruins (-143) versus Maple Leafs (+120) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Boston grabbed a 5-1 victory at home its last time out on April 20 against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Jake DeBrusk led the Bruins with three points (two goals and one assist).

Toronto lost 5-1 on the road against the Boston Bruins in its last game on April 20. The Maple Leafs got one point apiece out of three skaters in that outing, including David Kampf (one goal) and Connor Dewar (one assist).

Prepare for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Bruins 4 - Maple Leafs 2
• Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.02 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Bruins-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Bruins (-143)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+120)

Bruins Betting Insights

• The Bruins have been victorious in 39 of their 68 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (57.4%).
• Boston is 28-19 when playing with moneyline odds of -143 or shorter (59.6% win percentage).
• The Bruins' implied moneyline win probability is 58.8% in this contest.
• In 39 games this season, Boston and its opponent have combined for more than 5.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in 19 games this season, and won seven (36.8%).
• This season Toronto has won one of its five games when it's the underdog by at least +120 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Maple Leafs, based on the moneyline, is 45.5%.
• Toronto has played 55 games this season that finished with over 5.5 goals.

Bruins Key Stats

• Boston's 263 total goals (3.2 per game) make it the 13th-ranked scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Bruins have been one of the stingiest units in NHL action, giving up 221 total goals (2.7 per game) to rank fifth.
• It has the league's 10th-best goal differential at +42.
• The 54 power-play goals the Bruins have recorded this season (on 243 power-play chances) rank 15th in the NHL.
• Boston ranks 14th in the league with a 22.22% power-play conversion rate.
• The seven shorthanded goals the Bruins have scored this season rank 12th among NHL squads.
• Boston's 82.46% penalty-kill success rate is the seventh-best in the league.
• Boston wins 49.5% of its faceoffs to rank 21st in the NHL.
• The Bruins connect on 11% of their shots (eighth in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 298 goals on the season (3.6 per game) rank second in the league.
• The Maple Leafs' total of 261 goals given up (3.2 per game) is 21st in the NHL.
• Its +37 goal differential ranks 11th in the league.
• With 57 power-play goals (on 238 chances), the Maple Leafs are 12th in the NHL.
• Toronto scores on 23.95% of its power plays, No. 7 in the league.
• This season, the Maple Leafs have six shorthanded goals (22nd in league).
• Toronto's has the 23rd-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.89%).
• Toronto is third in faceoff win rate in the NHL (53.4%).
• With a shooting percentage of 11.2%, the Maple Leafs are fifth in the league.