Red Sox vs. Nationals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 1

The Boston Red Sox and Washington Nationals play on Wednesday at 1:35 p.m. ET at Fenway Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie. Payton Tolle (4-5, 2.78 ERA) will start for the Red Sox, who are 37-47 this season and fifth in the AL East. Andrew Alvarez (1-1, 3.44 ERA) is the expected starter for the Nationals, who are 44-43 and fourth in the NL East.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Red Sox (-145) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Nationals (+120) at home. The contest has a total set at 9.5.

Red Sox vs. Nationals Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
• Game time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park
• Favorite: Red Sox (-145)
• Underdog: Nationals (+120)
• Over/under: 9.5

How to Watch Red Sox vs. Nationals

• TV Channel: NESN and NATS
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Red Sox vs. Nationals: Betting the Moneyline

• The Red Sox have been the moneyline favorite 53 total times this season. They've finished 23-30 in those games.
• Washington has been victorious in 38, or 50%, of the 76 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Boston has entered 15 games this season favored by -145 or more and is 5-10 in those contests.
• This season, the Nationals have come away with a win 20 times in 42 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Red Sox's implied win probability is 59.2%.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox vs. Nationals: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 84 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Red Sox, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-43-5).
• Washington's games have gone over the total in 51 of its 87 chances.
• The Red Sox have put together a 37-47-0 record against the spread this season (covering 44% of the time).
• The Nationals have posted a record of 53-34-0 against the spread this season.