Red Sox vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 10

The Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays play a rubber match on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1. Payton Tolle (1-1, 2.04 ERA) will start for the Red Sox, who are 17-22 this season and fourth in the AL East. Nick Martinez (3-1, 1.71 ERA) is the expected starter for the Rays, who are 25-13 and first in the AL East.

Oddsmakers have made the Red Sox a decent moneyline favorite (-136) at home over the Rays (+114). The game has an over/under of 8 runs.

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, May 10, 2026
• Game time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park
• Favorite: Red Sox (-136)
• Underdog: Rays (+114)
• Over/under: 8

How to Watch Red Sox vs. Rays

• TV Channel: NESN and RAYS
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Red Sox vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

• The Red Sox are 12-14 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 46.2% of those games).
• Tampa Bay has been victorious in 10, or 55.6%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Boston has a record of 5-10 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline.
• This year, the Rays have won five of six games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied moneyline win probability of 57.6% in this matchup.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 46.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Red Sox vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 39 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Red Sox, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-19-2).
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of its 38 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have collected a 14-25-0 record ATS this season (covering just 35.9% of the time).
• In 38 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 23-15-0 against the spread.