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Red Sox vs. Astros Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 2

02 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox host the Houston Astros at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. Connelly Early (2-1, 2.84 ERA) gets the start for the Red Sox, who are 13-19 this season and fifth in the AL East. Spencer Arrighetti (3-0, 2.00 ERA) is expected to start for the Astros, who are 12-21 and fourth in the AL West.

At home, the Red Sox are favored to win on the moneyline (-141) over the Astros (+118). The contest has an over/under set at 9.

Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park
  • Favorite: Red Sox (-141)
  • Underdog: Astros (+118)
  • Over/under: 9

How to Watch Red Sox vs. Astros

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Red Sox vs. Astros: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Red Sox have won 47.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (10-11).
  • Houston has been underdogs in 17 games this season and has come away with the win seven times (41.2%) in those contests.
  • Boston has a record of 2-5 when favored by -141 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros have a mark of 2-6 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied moneyline win probability of 58.5% in this game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox vs. Astros: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Red Sox have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 32 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 15 of those games (15-16-1).
  • Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 23 of 33 chances this season.
  • The Red Sox have put together an 11-21-0 record ATS this season.
  • In 33 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 12-21-0 against the spread.
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