Hawks vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 26

The Atlanta Hawks (15-16) will aim to snap a four-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (15-15) on December 26, 2025. The Heat have dropped three games in a row.

The Hawks take on the Heat in a game that Atlanta is currently a small favorite by 2.5 points. The game has a point total of 247.5.

Hawks vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Friday, December 26, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Arena: State Farm Arena
• Total: 247.5 points
• Spread: Hawks -2.5
• Moneyline: Hawks (-162), Heat (+136)

How to watch Hawks vs. Heat

• TV Channel: ANF – Atlanta News First
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Hawks vs. Heat

• In 11 games this season, the Hawks and their opponents have scored more than 247.5 combined points.
• The Heat have played 10 games this season that have had more than 247.5 combined points scored.
• These two teams score a combined 238 points per game, 9.5 fewer points than this matchup's point total.
• These teams together give up 237.2 points per game, 10.3 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Hawks vs. Heat

• Atlanta has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• The Hawks have an ATS record of 4-9 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season.
• The Heat have put together a 16-13-1 ATS record so far this season.
• Miami is 8-4-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
• The Hawks are 4-10 against the spread, and 5-9 overall, at home this season.
• At home, Atlanta is winless ATS (0-5) as a 2.5-point favorite or greater.
• The Heat are 5-10 overall, and 8-6-1 against the spread, away from home.
• Miami has one win ATS (1-1) away from home as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Hawks vs. Heat

• The Hawks have won eight of the 17 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (47.1%).
• The Heat have been underdogs in 16 games this season and won seven (43.8%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has gone 6-4 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -162 or shorter (winning 60%).
• This season, Miami has won three of its 11 games, or 27.3%, when it is the underdog by at least +136 on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Hawks a 61.8% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (247.5)
  
• Prediction: Hawks 126 - Heat 125
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!