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Braves vs. Phillies Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Sept. 29

28 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The NL Wild Card Series opens with a battle between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies, Tuesday at 2 p.m. ET, at Truist Park. Chris Sale (14-9, 2.16 ERA) gets the start for the Braves, and Jesus Luzardo (14-5, 2.86 ERA) is expected to start for the Phillies.

The Braves are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-192) at home over the Phillies (+157). The game's total is set at 6.5.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
  • Game time: 2 p.m. ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park
  • Favorite: Braves (-192)
  • Underdog: Phillies (+157)
  • Over/under: 6.5

How to Watch Braves vs. Phillies

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Braves vs. Phillies: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Braves are 71-43 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.3% of those games).
  • Philadelphia has come away with 12 wins in the 40 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta has entered 19 games this season favored by -192 or more and is 13-6 in those contests.
  • This season, the Phillies have been a moneyline underdog of -192 or longer four times, losing every contest.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Braves a 65.8% chance to win.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves vs. Phillies: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Braves have played in 161 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-79-8).
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 76 of its 162 games with a total this season.
  • The Braves have an 82-79-0 record ATS this season (covering 50.9% of the time).
  • The Phillies are 69-93-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line this season.
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