Tarleton State vs. Alcorn State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 13

The Tarleton State Texans (2-1) host the Alcorn State Braves (0-3) at EECU Center, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 13, 2026. The Texans are 15.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 151.5.

Tarleton State heads into this matchup on the heels of a 76-57 win over Texas-Dallas on Tuesday. In Tarleton State's win, Brett Freeman led the way with a team-high 21 points (adding one rebound and two assists). Alcorn State's most recent outing was a 94-57 loss to Murray State on Tuesday. Braylhan Thomas totaled 15 points, zero rebounds and zero assists for Alcorn State.

Tarleton State vs. Alcorn State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: EECU Center in Stephenville, Texas
• Spread favorite: Tarleton State -15.5
• Moneyline favorite: Tarleton State -2128
• Moneyline underdog: Alcorn State +1040
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch Tarleton State vs. Alcorn State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Tarleton State vs. Alcorn State

• Last year, Tarleton State's games finished over 151.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, 13 (out of 28) times.
• Last year, 10 of Alcorn State's 32 matchups went over 151.5 total points scored.
• The two teams averaged a combined 10.1 fewer points per game (141.4) a season ago than this matchup's over/under of 151.5 points.
• The Texans and the Braves saw their opponents average a combined 2.1 more points per game last season than the over/under of 151.5 set in this outing.
• The average point total for Tarleton State's games last year was 3.6 fewer points than the total of 151.5 in this matchup.
• The average over/under in Alcorn State's games in 2025 was 4.4 fewer points than the point total of 151.5 in this game.

Betting the Spread: Tarleton State vs. Alcorn State

• Tarleton State went 14-14-0 ATS last season.
• The Texans won their only game last season when playing as at least 15.5-point favorites.
• Alcorn State covered 18 times in 32 matchups with a spread last year.
• The Braves covered the spread four times last season (4-6 ATS) when playing as at least 15.5-point underdogs.
• At home last season, Tarleton State was 6-6 overall and 5-7 against the spread.
• Away from home last season, Alcorn State was 2-18 overall and 11-9 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Tarleton State vs. Alcorn State

• Tarleton State won eight of the 13 games it was the moneyline favorite last season (61.5%).
• The Texans never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -2128 or shorter.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, Tarleton State's implied win probability is 95.5%.
• Alcorn State was underdogs in 28 games last season and won seven (25%) of those contests.
• Last season, the Braves were at least a +1040 underdog on the moneyline seven times, losing each of those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 8.8% chance of a victory for Alcorn State.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Tarleton State vs. Alcorn State

• Pick ATS: Tarleton State (- 15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (151.5)
  
• Prediction: Tarleton State 83 - Alcorn State 61