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Braves vs. Red Sox Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 16

16 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves host the Boston Red Sox at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday. Bryce Elder (4-1, 1.81 ERA) gets the start for the Braves, who are 31-14 this season and first in the NL East. Payton Tolle (1-2, 1.99 ERA) is starting for the Red Sox, who are 18-26 and fifth in the AL East.

At home, the Braves are favored to win on the moneyline (-128) over the Red Sox (+106). The contest has a total set at 7.5.

Braves vs. Red Sox Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park
  • Favorite: Braves (-128)
  • Underdog: Red Sox (+106)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Braves vs. Red Sox

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Braves vs. Red Sox: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Braves are 25-9 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 73.5% of those games).
  • Boston has won in five, or 33.3%, of the 15 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Atlanta has a record of 17-7, a 70.8% win rate, when favored by -128 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • This season, the Red Sox have been victorious three times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Braves' implied win probability is 56.1%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves vs. Red Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Braves have played in 45 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-24-3).
  • So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 44 games with a total.
  • The Braves have put together a 30-15-0 record ATS this season (covering 66.7% of the time).
  • The Red Sox are 17-27-0 against the spread in their 44 games that had a posted line this season.
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