Arkansas State vs. Little Rock Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 6

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-3) visit the Little Rock Trojans (2-6) at Jack Stephens Center, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The Red Wolves are 9.5-point favorites in the game. The point total in the matchup is 149.5.

In its last time out, Arkansas State won on Tuesday 83-63 against UT Arlington. In the win, Jalen Hampton paced Arkansas State with 19 points. Little Rock's most recent outing on Wednesday ended in an 85-47 loss to Central Arkansas. Cameron Wallace put up 19 points, nine rebounds and one assist for Little Rock.

Arkansas State vs. Little Rock Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Jack Stephens Center in Little Rock, Arkansas
• Spread favorite: Arkansas State -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Arkansas State -493
• Moneyline underdog: Little Rock +367
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch Arkansas State vs. Little Rock

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Arkansas State vs. Little Rock

• Six of Arkansas State's games this season have gone over Saturday's over/under of 149.5 points.
• This season, two Little Rock games have finished with more combined points than Saturday's total of 149.5.
• The Red Wolves average 79.8 points per game and the Trojans score 64.6, which is 5.1 points under the matchup's point total of 149.5.
• This game's over/under is 7.7 fewer points than the 157.2 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Arkansas State has a 159.6 average over/under in its games this season, 10.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 7.5 points more than the average over/under in Little Rock's games this season (142.0 points).

Betting the Spread: Arkansas State vs. Little Rock

• Arkansas State is 6-2-0 against the spread this season.
• Little Rock has two wins against the spread in seven games this year.
• The Trojans have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 9.5 points or more (in three chances).
• This season away from home, Arkansas State is 3-2 against the spread and 2-3 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Arkansas State vs. Little Rock

• Arkansas State has entered the game as moneyline favorites four times this season and won three of those games.
• The Red Wolves have not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -493 odds on them winning this game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Arkansas State has a 83.1% chance to win.
• Little Rock has been victorious in one of the seven contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Trojans have won all of their three games in which they were named as at least a +367 moneyline underdog.
• Little Rock has an implied victory probability of 21.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Arkansas State vs. Little Rock

• Pick ATS: Little Rock (+ 9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (149.5)
  
• Prediction: Arkansas State 80 - Little Rock 76