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Aces vs. Sky: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 3

01 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Chicago Sky (6-13) will aim to break a five-game road losing streak when squaring off against the Las Vegas Aces (14-5) on Friday, July 3, 2026 at T-Mobile Arena, airing at 10 p.m. ET on ION.

Las Vegas enters this game following a 93-85 defeat to New York. The Aces' leading scorer was Jackie Young, who finished with 31 points, seven assists and two steals.

Chicago lost to Las Vegas 107-99 at home last time out, and were led by Kamilla Cardoso (24 PTS, 8 REB, 2 STL, 66.7 FG%) and Azura Stevens (24 PTS, 2 STL, 57.1 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT).

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Aces vs. Sky Betting Lines

Grab a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Aces-Sky matchup.

  • Favorite: Aces (-4.5)
  • Total: 180.5
  • Aces Moneyline: -176
  • Sky Moneyline: +142

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Aces Betting Insights

  • The Aces have an implied moneyline win probability of 63.8% in this game.
  • Las Vegas has gone 14-5 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 73.7% of those games).
  • The Aces have compiled an 11-8-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Las Vegas' games this season have gone over this contest's total of 180.5 points nine times.
  • The average point total in Aces games this season is 173.3, 7.2 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Sky Betting Insights

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Sky have a 41.3% chance to win.
  • Chicago has won two, or 16.7%, of the 12 games it has played as the underdog this season.
  • The Sky have won nine games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 10 times.
  • Chicago and its opponents have combined to score more than 180.5 points in eight of 19 games this season.
  • The average over/under for Sky matchups this season is 169.6, 10.9 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Sky

  • Las Vegas puts up only 1.2 more points per game (90.7) than Chicago allows (89.5).
  • When the Aces score more than 89.5 points, they are 10-1.
  • Las Vegas' offense has been much worse in home games (89.1 PPG) compared to its play on the road (91.8 PPG). Similarly, its defense has been worse when playing at home (88.9 PPG allowed) when compared to road games (84.5 PPG allowed).
  • Chicago puts up an average of 86.4 points per game, the same as Las Vegas gives up.
  • When they score more than 86.4 points, the Sky are 3-6.
  • At home Chicago averages 90.5 points per game, 8.6 more than away (81.9). Defensively, it concedes 91.1 points per game at home, 3.3 more than on the road (87.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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