Xavier vs. Missouri State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 12

The Xavier Musketeers (7-3) host the Missouri State Bears (4-4) at Cintas Center, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 12, 2025. The Musketeers are 18.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 149.5.

Their last time out, Xavier won on Friday 79-74 against Cincinnati. Tre Carroll's team-leading 30 points paced Xavier in the victory. Missouri State's last game was a 98-74 loss to Tulsa on Saturday. Kobi Williams put up 20 points, four rebounds and two assists for Missouri State.

Xavier vs. Missouri State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, December 12, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Cintas Center in Cincinnati, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Xavier -18.5
• Moneyline favorite: Xavier -2500
• Moneyline underdog: Missouri State +1145
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch Xavier vs. Missouri State

• TV Channel: truTV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Xavier vs. Missouri State

• Xavier and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total (149.5 points) six times this season.
• There have been two games featuring Missouri State this season with more combined points than Friday's total of 149.5.
• The total for the game of 149.5 is 7.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Musketeers (78.7) and Bears (78.6).
• These two teams give up a combined 146.8 points per game, 2.7 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Xavier has seen a 151.6-point over/under in its games this season, 2.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Missouri State's games have an average over/under of 152.5 points this season, 3.0 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Xavier vs. Missouri State

• Against the spread, Xavier is 5-5-0 this year.
• The Musketeers have been favored by 18.5 points or more two times this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• Missouri State has one win against the spread in five games this season.
• At home this season, Xavier is 6-1 overall and 3-4 against the spread.
• Xavier is winless ATS (0-2) as a 18.5-point favorite or more at home.

Betting the Moneyline: Xavier vs. Missouri State

• This season, Xavier has been moneyline favorites seven times and won six of those games.
• The Musketeers have played as a favorite of -2500 or more twice this season and won both games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Xavier has a 96.2% chance to win.
• Missouri State was defeated in both of the games it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
• Oddsmakers have given the Bears the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +1145 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Missouri State has an 8% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Xavier vs. Missouri State

• Pick ATS: Xavier (- 18.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)
  
• Prediction: Xavier 82 - Missouri State 59