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Astros vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 21

21 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins take a seven-game losing streak into a home matchup versus the Houston Astros, at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Tatsuya Imai (5-4, 6.06 ERA) will start for the Astros, who are 48-54 this season and third in the AL West. Tyler Phillips (2-4, 3.48 ERA) is starting for the Marlins, who are 52-49 and third in the NL East.

The Marlins (+104) take their show on the road to face the favored Astros (-127). The game has an over/under of 9 runs.

Astros vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
  • Game time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Daikin Park
  • Favorite: Astros (-127)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+104)
  • Over/under: 9

How to Watch Astros vs. Marlins

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Astros vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Astros have won 16 of the 37 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (43.2%).
  • Miami has come away with 20 wins in the 53 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Houston is 10-15 this season when entering a game favored by -127 or more on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Marlins have come away with a win 15 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Astros a 55.9% chance to win.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Astros vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Astros have played in 102 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 53 times (53-43-6).
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of its 101 opportunities.
  • The Astros have collected a 50-52-0 record ATS this season (covering 49% of the time).
  • The Marlins are 52-49-0 against the spread in their 101 games that had a posted line this season.
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