Wings vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Sept. 19

Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (15-26) match up against Paige Bueckers and the Dallas Wings (25-16) on Saturday, September 19, 2026 at College Park Center, at 1 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+.

Dallas picked up a 97-77 win versus Los Angeles last time out. The team was led by Bueckers' 19 points, six rebounds and two steals and Jessica Shepard's 13 points, 11 rebounds and 12 assists.

In its most recent game, Phoenix beat Portland, 94-91, on the road. Its top performers were Shay Ciezki (22 PTS, 2 STL, 62.5 FG%, 3-5 from 3PT) and Alyssa Thomas (18 PTS, 8 REB, 6 AST, 75 FG%).

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Wings vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the latest betting lines for the Wings-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Wings (-8.5)
• Total: 172.5
• Wings Moneyline: -355
• Mercury Moneyline: +270

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Wings Betting Insights

• The Wings have an implied moneyline win probability of 78.0% in this game.
• Dallas has won 79.2% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (19-5).
• The Wings have put together a 20-21-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Dallas' 41 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 172.5 points 20 times.
• The average total in Wings contests this year is 174.9, 2.4 more points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 27.0% chance to win.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 25 times this season and won seven, or 28%, of those games.
• The Mercury have covered 17 times in 41 games with a spread this season.
• Phoenix and its opponents have combined to score more than 172.5 points in 19 of 41 games this season.
• The average over/under for Mercury contests this season is 170.3, 2.2 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Wings vs. Mercury

• The 89.2 points per game Dallas puts up are just 1.9 more points than Phoenix allows (87.3).
• The Wings are 21-3 when scoring more than 87.3 points.
• Dallas has been slightly worse offensively at home, where it averages 88.9 points per game, compared to road games, where it scores 89.6. Defensively it is much better in home games, where it allows 79.6 points per game, versus playing on the road, where it allows its opponents to average 91.
• Phoenix's 84.4 points per game are just 0.7 fewer points than the 85.1 Dallas gives up.
• When they score more than 85.1 points, the Mercury are 12-7.
• At home, Phoenix is better offensively, scoring 85.8 points per game, compared to 83.1 on the road. But it is not as good defensively, conceding 87.8 points per game at home, and 87 away.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.