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Wild vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 15

15 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Minnesota Wild and Toronto Maple Leafs -- both coming off defeats -- will play on Sunday at 7:30 p.m. ET, at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul. The bookmakers have made the Wild heavy favorites at -265 on the moneyline, and the Maple Leafs are at +215.

Minnesota was handed a 4-2 loss at home its last time out on March 14 against the New York Rangers. Six Wild players recorded one point each, including Danila Yurov (one goal) and Quinn Hughes (one assist).

Toronto played on the road in its most recent game on March 14, and fell to the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in a shootout (2-0). Matthew Knies (one assist) and Nicholas Robertson (one assist) were among the five Maple Leafs players who put up one point each in that matchup.

Ahead of this matchup, here is who we expect to take home the victory in Sunday's hockey action.

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Wild vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Minnesota Wild and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Wild 4 - Maple Leafs 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.05 goals)

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Wild vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Wild-Maple Leafs matchup.

  • Favorite: Wild (-265)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+215)

Wild Betting Insights

  • The Wild have been victorious in 21 of their 39 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (53.8%).
  • Minnesota has not played with moneyline odds of -265 or shorter.
  • The Wild's implied moneyline win probability is 72.6% in this contest.
  • Minnesota and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 34 of 67 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • This season the Maple Leafs have been an underdog 33 times, and won 11, or 33.3%, of those games.
  • Toronto has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +215.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 31.7% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
  • Toronto has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 38 of 67 games this season.

Wild Key Stats

  • Minnesota's 220 total goals (3.3 per game) rank ninth in the league.
  • The Wild have given up 187 total goals (2.8 per game), the fifth-fewest in league action.
  • Its +33 goal differential is the fifth-best in the league.
  • The 56 power-play goals the Wild have recorded this season (on 224 power-play chances) are the third-most in the NHL.
  • Minnesota's 25% power-play conversion rate is the fourth-best in the league.
  • The six shorthanded goals the Wild have scored this season rank ninth among NHL teams.
  • Minnesota kills 78.86% of opponent power plays, the 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Minnesota has the 31st-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 46.6%.
  • The Wild make 11.4% of their shots (12th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto has 210 goals this season (3.1 per game), 15th in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs' total of 232 goals conceded (3.5 per game) is 31st in the NHL.
  • Its -22 goal differential ranks 24th in the league.
  • With 32 power-play goals (on 161 chances), the Maple Leafs are 24th in the NHL.
  • Toronto scores on 19.88% of its power plays, No. 20 in the league.
  • This season, the Maple Leafs have four shorthanded goals (21st in NHL).
  • Toronto's has the third-best penalty-kill percentage (83.33%).
  • Toronto wins 55.9% of faceoffs, tops in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs' 11.5% shooting percentage is ninth in the league.

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