Commanders vs. Vikings Week 14 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Washington Commanders (3-9) and Minnesota Vikings (4-8) will play each other, with both teams on losing streaks -- the Commanders seven in a row, the Vikings four in a row. Washington is a slim favorite (-1.5). The predicted point total for the game is 43.5.

Despite having a bottom-five defense that ranks second-worst in the NFL (388.3 yards allowed per game), the Commanders have put up better results on offense, ranking 15th in the NFL by totaling 337.6 yards per game. The Vikings' offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, putting up 18.7 points per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 17th with 23.4 points ceded per contest.

Commanders vs. Vikings Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Commanders -1.5
• Moneyline: Commanders (-125), Vikings (+105)

How to watch Commanders vs. Vikings

• TV Channel: FOX Net (Minot-Bismarck, ND)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Commanders vs. Vikings

• The Commanders and their opponents have combined to score more than 43.5 points in eight of 12 games this season.
• Washington and its opponent have combined to go over the point total six out of 12 times this season.
• The Vikings have combined with their opponent to score more than 43.5 points in seven of 12 games this season.
• Minnesota games have gone over the point total seven out of 12 times this season.
• These two teams score a combined 40.5 points per game, 3.0 fewer points than this matchup's point total.
• Combined, these teams allow 50.3 points per game, 6.8 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Commanders vs. Vikings

• Washington is 4-8-0 ATS this season.
• Washington has been favored by 1.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
• The Vikings have covered four times in 12 matchups with a spread this season.
• Minnesota has been an underdog by 1.5 points or more six times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• The Vikings have one win against the spread, and are 1-4 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Minnesota is winless ATS (0-2) as 1.5-point underdogs or greater.
• The Commanders are 1-5 overall, with just one win against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Commanders vs. Vikings

• Washington has compiled a 2-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
• The Vikings have won one of the six games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Washington has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -125 or shorter.
• Minnesota has a record of 1-5 when it is set as an underdog of +105 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Commanders have an implied win probability of 55.6%.

Dunkel Prediction for Commanders vs. Vikings

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