Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament

The SEC championship will be decided Sunday as the No. 4 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (26-7, 11-7 SEC) meet the No. 3 Arkansas Razorbacks (25-8, 13-5 SEC) at 1 p.m. ET, live on ESPN. Vanderbilt is listed as a 2.5-point favorite to win the contest and claim the conference title and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 164.5 points.

Vanderbilt heads into this contest after a 91-74 victory against Florida on Saturday. Tyler's team-leading 20 points paced Vanderbilt in the win. Arkansas' last game on Saturday ended in a 93-90 win against Ole Miss in overtime. Meleek Thomas totaled 29 points, five rebounds and five assists for Arkansas.

Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Vanderbilt -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Vanderbilt -134
• Moneyline underdog: Arkansas +109
• Over/Under: 164.5 points

How to watch Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas

• A total of 14 of Vanderbilt's games this season have gone over Sunday's over/under of 164.5 points.
• In Arkansas' 33 games this season, 20 finished with more combined points than Sunday's over/under of 164.5.
• The over/under for the contest of 164.5 is 12.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Commodores (86.7 points per game) and the Razorbacks (90.1 points per game).
• The 155.1 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 9.4 less than the 164.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Vanderbilt's games is 2.9 fewer points than the over/under of 164.5 in this contest.
• A difference of 5.8 points separates the average over/under in Arkansas' games (170.3 points) and this game's over/under (164.5).

Betting the Spread: Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas

• Vanderbilt has played 32 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• The Commodores have been favored by 2.5 points or more 26 times this season and are 14-12 ATS in those matchups.
• Arkansas has 21 wins against the spread in 32 games this season.
• The Razorbacks have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more nine times this season and are 4-5 ATS in those matchups.
• Arkansas is 12-5 against the spread, and 16-1 overall, at home.
• This year, as a 2.5-point underdog or more at home, Arkansas is 9-5 ATS.
• Vanderbilt is 6-6 against the spread, and 8-4 overall, away from home.
• As 2.5-point favorites or more on the road, Vanderbilt is 4-4 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas

• This season, Vanderbilt has won 21 out of the 25 games, or 84%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Commodores have a record of 21-4 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
• Vanderbilt has a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Arkansas has been a moneyline underdog in 10 games this season and has come away with the win three times (30%) in those contests.
• This season, the Razorbacks have been victorious three times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Arkansas has a 47.8% chance of pulling out a win.