Valparaiso vs. South Dakota State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 11

The Valparaiso Beacons (2-0) visit the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (2-0) at First Bank and Trust Arena, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. The Jackrabbits are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points.

Valparaiso heads into this contest following an 83-80 win over Purdue in overtime on Friday. In Valparaiso's win, Rakim Chaney led the way with a team-high 35 points (adding eight rebounds and six assists). South Dakota State is coming off of a 71-49 win against Briar Cliff (IA) in its most recent game on Friday. In South Dakota State's win, Jon Mekonnen led the team with 18 points (adding three rebounds and zero assists).

Valparaiso vs. South Dakota State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: First Bank and Trust Arena in Brookings, South Dakota
• Spread favorite: Valparaiso -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Valparaiso -128
• Moneyline underdog: South Dakota State +104
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Valparaiso vs. South Dakota State

• TV Channel: Summit League Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Valparaiso vs. South Dakota State

• Out of 32 games last year, Valparaiso had 19 with over 142.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total.
• A total of 17 South Dakota State's games last season (out of 29) went over 142.5 total points scored.
• The two teams averaged a combined 4.9 more points per game (147.4) a season ago than this matchup's over/under of 142.5 points.
• Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 144.3 points per game last season, 1.8 more than the over/under in this game.
• The average total Valparaiso had set in matchups last year was 1.0 more point than this outing's point total.
• The average point total for South Dakota State in 2025 was 5.8 points higher than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Valparaiso vs. South Dakota State

• Valparaiso put together a 21-11-0 record against the spread last season.
• When playing as at least 1.5-point favorites last season, the Beacons had an ATS record of 6-6.
• South Dakota State compiled a 13-15-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Jackrabbits were an underdog by 1.5 points or more 10 times last season, and covered the spread in four of those contests.
• South Dakota State was 5-4-1 against the spread, and 6-4 overall, at home last season.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or greater at home last year, South Dakota State was 5-3-1 ATS.
• Valparaiso was 4-10 overall, and 10-4 against the spread, in away games last season.
• Away from home, Valparaiso was winless ATS (0-1) as a 1.5-point favorite or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Valparaiso vs. South Dakota State

• Valparaiso finished with a 10-2 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 83.3% of those games).
• The Beacons went 10-2 in games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -128 or shorter (83.3%).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, Valparaiso's implied win probability is 56.1%.
• Last season, South Dakota State was listed as the underdog in 10 games and failed to win any of those contests.
• Last season, the Jackrabbits were at least a +104 underdog on the moneyline nine times, losing each of those contests.
• The implied probability of a win by South Dakota State, based on the moneyline, is 49.0%.