Valkyries vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 10

The Golden State Valkyries (1-0) face the Phoenix Mercury (1-0) at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 10, 2026 on KPIX+ and KMAX 31.

Golden State, led by Janelle Salaun with 16 points and two steals, picked up a 91-80 victory against Seattle in their most recent game. Veronica Burton added 16 points, six assists and two steals.

Phoenix beat Las Vegas 99-66 on the road last time out, and were led by Alyssa Thomas (20 PTS, 9 AST, 3 STL, 52.9 FG%) and Jovana Nogic (19 PTS, 2 STL, 62.5 FG%, 4-5 from 3PT).

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Valkyries vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Valkyries-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Valkyries (-2.5)
• Total: 158.5
• Valkyries Moneyline: -150
• Mercury Moneyline: +122

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Valkyries Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The Valkyries have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.0% in this game.
• Golden State finished with a 9-2 record in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 81.8% of those games).
• The Valkyries covered 27 times in 46 games with a spread last season.
• Golden State's games last season featured more combined points than this contest's total of 158.5 points 20 times.
• The average point total in Valkyries matchups last season was 157.3, 1.2 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The Mercury have a 45.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Phoenix won nine, or 42.9%, of the 21 games it played as an underdog last season.
• The Mercury went 28-27-0 ATS last season.
• Phoenix played 33 games last season that finished with a combined score over 158.5 points.
• Mercury outings last year had a 163.0-point average over/under, 4.5 more points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Valkyries vs. Mercury

• Last year, Golden State scored 77.7 points per game, just 2.4 fewer points than the 80.1 that Phoenix allowed.
• The Valkyries went 13-3 last season when scoring more than 80.1 points.
• Offensively Golden State played better when playing at home last season, posting 79.1 points per game, compared to 76.4 per game when playing on the road.
• Phoenix's 82.8 points per game last year were 6.5 more points than the 76.3 that Golden State gave up.
• When they scored more than 76.3 points last season, the Mercury went 24-8.
• Phoenix scored 83.8 points per game at home last season, and 81.8 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.