Valkyries vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 10

The Golden State Valkyries (1-0) battle the Phoenix Mercury (1-0) at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 10, 2026. The matchup airs on KPIX+ and KMAX 31.

Golden State defeated Seattle 91-80 in its last game. Janelle Salaun led the way with 20 points, followed by Veronica Burton with 16 points, six assists and two steals.

Phoenix were winners on the road over Las Vegas, 99-66, in its last game. Its top performers were Alyssa Thomas (20 PTS, 9 AST, 3 STL, 52.9 FG%) and Jovana Nogic (19 PTS, 2 STL, 62.5 FG%, 4-5 from 3PT).

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Valkyries vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Valkyries-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Valkyries (-1.5)
• Total: 157.5
• Valkyries Moneyline: -122
• Mercury Moneyline: +100

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Valkyries Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Valkyries a 55.0% chance to win.
• Golden State won 81.8% of the games last season it was favored on the moneyline (9-2).
• The Valkyries won 27 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 19 times.
• Golden State and its opponents went over 157.5 combined points in 20 of 46 games last season.
• The Valkyries had an average total of 157.3 in their outings last season, 0.2 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 50.0% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Last season, Phoenix won nine of the 21 games, or 42.9%, in which it was an underdog.
• The Mercury went 28-27-0 ATS last year.
• Phoenix combined with its opponents to score more than 157.5 points in 34 of 55 games last season.
• The Mercury had a 163.0-point average over/under in their contests last year, 5.5 more points than the point total for this game.

Key Stats for Valkyries vs. Mercury

• Last year, Golden State scored 77.7 points per game, only 2.4 fewer points than the 80.1 that Phoenix allowed.
• The Valkyries had a 13-3 record last season when putting up more than 80.1 points.
• Offensively Golden State fared better when playing at home last season, scoring 79.1 points per game, compared to 76.4 per game away from home.
• Phoenix scored 6.5 more points per game last year (82.8) than Golden State gave up (76.3).
• The Mercury went 24-8 last season when they scored more than 76.3 points.
• Phoenix averaged 83.8 points per game at home last season, and 81.8 away.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.