Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 7
07 November 2026

The Montreal Canadiens (10-3-3) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (8-7-2) on Saturday, Nov. 7, with the Canadiens coming off a victory and the Maple Leafs a defeat. Canadiens (-122) at Maple Leafs (+102) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
Montreal won 5-4 at home its last time out on Nov. 5 against the Utah Mammoth. Nicholas Suzuki had three points (one goal and two assists) for the Canadiens.
Toronto's last game was a home loss, 3-2, to the Utah Mammoth on Nov. 3. The Maple Leafs got two points each out of Jack Roslovic (two goals) and Auston Matthews (two assists).
Here's our prediction for who will secure the win in Saturday's matchup.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Canadiens 3
- Pick OU:
Over 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 7 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines
Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Canadiens-Maple Leafs matchup.
- Favorite: Canadiens (-122)
- Underdog: Maple Leafs (+102)
Canadiens Betting Insights
- In the 11 times this season the Canadiens have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 7-4 in those games.
- Montreal is 5-3 (victorious in 62.5% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -122 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Canadiens have an implied probability of 55.0% to win.
- In 11 games this season, Montreal and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
Maple Leafs Betting Insights
- The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in seven games this season, and won four (57.1%).
- Toronto has a record of 3-3 in games when bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +102 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Maple Leafs have a 49.5% chance to win.
- Toronto's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 10 of 17 times.
Canadiens Key Stats
- Montreal's 55 total goals (3.4 per game) make it the 12th-ranked scoring team in the NHL.
- Defensively, the Canadiens are giving up 51 total goals (3.2 per game) to rank 17th in league play.
- Its +4 goal differential ranks 12th in the league.
- The seven power-play goals the Canadiens have scored this season rank 29th in the NHL (on 50 power-play chances).
- Montreal has the league's 30th-ranked power-play conversion rate (14.00%).
- The Canadiens have scored one shorthanded goal this season (16th among NHL teams).
- Montreal kills 78.46% of opponent power plays, the 14th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Montreal has the 10th-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 51.6%.
- The Canadiens shoot 12.4% as a team (ninth in the league).
Maple Leafs Key Stats
- With 62 goals (3.6 per game), Toronto has the NHL's sixth-best offense.
- The Maple Leafs' total of 55 goals allowed (3.2 per game) is 22nd in the league.
- With a goal differential of +7, the team is 10th-best in the league in that category.
- With 15 power-play goals (on 52 chances), the Maple Leafs are seventh-best in the NHL.
- Toronto's power-play percentage (28.85) ranks the team sixth in the league.
- The Maple Leafs have one shorthanded goal (16th in league).
- The 88.14% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is fourth in the league.
- Toronto wins 53% of faceoffs, eighth-best in the NHL.
- The Maple Leafs' 12.9% shooting percentage is seventh in the league.
