UTSA vs. VMI Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 7

The UTSA Roadrunners (0-1) host the VMI Keydets (1-1) at UTSA Convocation Center, starting at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 7, 2026. The Keydets are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 163.5.

UTSA is coming off of a 95-74 loss to San Jose State in its last game on Monday. Shey Eberwein's team-leading 15 points paced UTSA in the loss. VMI dropped its most recent matchup 95-70 against SMU on Thursday. T.J. Johnson scored 19 points in VMI's loss, leading the team.

UTSA vs. VMI Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: UTSA Convocation Center in San Antonio, Texas
• Spread favorite: UTSA -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: UTSA -206
• Moneyline underdog: VMI +166
• Over/Under: 163.5 points

How to watch UTSA vs. VMI

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UTSA vs. VMI

• UTSA played six games with over 163.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, last season.
• VMI played five games last season (17.2% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 163.5 points.
• The two teams averaged a combined 22 fewer points per game (141.5) a season ago than this game's over/under of 163.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 160.7 points per game last season, 2.8 fewer than the point total in this game.
• The average point total for UTSA's games last year was 13.3 fewer points than the total of 163.5 in this matchup.
• VMI's games in 2025 averaged a total of 152 points, 11.5 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: UTSA vs. VMI

• UTSA went 10-18-0 ATS last season.
• The Roadrunners were favored by 4.5 points or more last season once, and failed to cover the spread.
• VMI covered nine times in 29 matchups with a spread last year.
• The Keydets had an ATS record of 7-15 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs last season.
• UTSA was 5-7 against the spread, and 0-12 overall, at home last year.
• At home last season, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater, UTSA was winless ATS (0-1).
• In away games last season, VMI was 7-8 against the spread and 1-14 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: UTSA vs. VMI

• UTSA was listed as the moneyline favorite only one time last season, a game it lost.
• The Roadrunners played as a moneyline favorite of -206 or shorter in only one game last season, which they lost.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, UTSA has an implied win probability of 67.3%.
• Last season, VMI was the underdog 26 times and won two of those games.
• The Keydets were 1-21 last season when entering a game as an underdog by +166 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by VMI, based on the moneyline, is 37.6%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UTSA vs. VMI

• Pick ATS: VMI (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (163.5)
  
• Prediction: VMI 78 - UTSA 77