UT Rio Grande Valley vs. UT Arlington Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 11

The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (3-5) host the UT Arlington Mavericks (6-3) at UTRGV Fieldhouse, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 11, 2025. The Vaqueros are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 144.5.

UT Rio Grande Valley won its last matchup 63-50 against Austin Peay on Sunday. Koree Cotton's team-high 22 points led UT Rio Grande Valley in the win. UT Arlington's most recent game on Tuesday ended in an 83-63 loss to Arkansas State. Marcell McCreary scored a team-leading 16 points for UT Arlington in the loss.

UT Rio Grande Valley vs. UT Arlington Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, December 11, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: UTRGV Fieldhouse in Edinburg, Texas
• Spread favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -207
• Moneyline underdog: UT Arlington +170
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch UT Rio Grande Valley vs. UT Arlington

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. UT Arlington

• This season, UT Rio Grande Valley and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under of 144.5 points four times.
• In UT Arlington's seven games this season, three finished with more combined points than Thursday's total of 144.5.
• The point total for the matchup of 144.5 is 8.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Vaqueros (76.8) and Mavericks (76.1).
• These two teams surrender a combined 139.1 points per game, 5.4 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, UT Rio Grande Valley has had a 150.5-point over/under in its games this season, 6.0 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• UT Arlington's games have an average over/under of 141.4 points this season, 3.1 points lower than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. UT Arlington

• UT Rio Grande Valley has four wins against the spread in seven games this year.
• The Vaqueros covered the spread in their only game when favored by 3.5 points or more.
• UT Arlington has played seven games, with four wins against the spread.
• The Mavericks have yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 3.5 points or more.
• At home, as a 3.5-point favorite or greater, UT Rio Grande Valley is unbeaten ATS (1-0).
• In away games, UT Arlington has two wins against the spread and are 2-2 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. UT Arlington

• UT Rio Grande Valley has won both games it has played as a moneyline favorite this season.
• The Vaqueros have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -207 moneyline set for this game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UT Rio Grande Valley has a 67.4% chance to win.
• UT Arlington has been a moneyline underdog in five games this season and has come away with the win two times (40%) in those contests.
• The Mavericks have been listed as an underdog of +170 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UT Arlington has a 37% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UT Rio Grande Valley vs. UT Arlington

• Pick ATS: UT Rio Grande Valley (- 3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (144.5)
  
• Prediction: UT Rio Grande Valley 75 - UT Arlington 65