USC vs. TCU Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Alamo Bowl
28 December 2025

The USC Trojans are 6.5-point favorites as they square off against the TCU Horned Frogs in the Alamo Bowl on December 30, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN.
In their last action, the Trojans won versus the UCLA Bruins, 29-10.
In their last contest, the Horned Frogs won versus the Cincinnati Bearcats, 45-23.
USC vs. TCU Predictions
Ahead of the upcoming contest between the USC Trojans and TCU Horned Frogs, computer-calculated against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Pick ATS: Trojans (- 6.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (55.5)
- Prediction: Trojans 37 - Horned Frogs 25
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!
USC vs. TCU Moneylines
Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Trojans-Horned Frogs game.
- USC Moneyline: -232
- TCU Moneyline: +191
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USC Betting Insights
- USC has won nine of the 10 games it was the moneyline favorite this season (90%).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -232 or shorter, USC has gone 7-1 (87.5%).
- The Trojans and their opponents have scored more than 55.5 points in six of 12 games this season.
- Trojans contests this year have an average total of 57.9, 2.4 more points than this matchup's over/under.
- The Trojans are the 21st-highest scoring team in college football this year. The Horned Frogs have scored the 54th-most points.
TCU Betting Insights
- TCU has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
- TCU has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +191 moneyline set for this game.
- TCU has played eight games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 55.5 points.
- TCU's games this year have had a 57.5-point total on average, 2.0 more points than this matchup's over/under.
Key Stats for USC vs. TCU
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Trojans have been a top-25 unit, ranking 10th-best in the FBS by averaging 471.6 yards per game. They rank 49th on defense (348.8 yards allowed per game).
- On offense, USC has been a top-25 unit, ranking 12th-best in the FBS by putting up 36.5 points per game. The Trojans rank 48th on defense (22.4 points allowed per game).
- The Horned Frogs' offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank 25th-best in the FBS with 425.3 total yards per game. In terms of defense, they are allowing 377.6 total yards per game, which ranks 70th.
- With 30.8 points per game on offense, TCU ranks 39th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 71st, giving up 25.2 points per contest.
