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USC vs. TCU Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Alamo Bowl

28 December 2025 By Data Skrive

The USC Trojans are 6.5-point favorites as they square off against the TCU Horned Frogs in the Alamo Bowl on December 30, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN.

In their last action, the Trojans won versus the UCLA Bruins, 29-10.

In their last contest, the Horned Frogs won versus the Cincinnati Bearcats, 45-23.

USC vs. TCU Predictions

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the USC Trojans and TCU Horned Frogs, computer-calculated against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Pick ATS: Trojans (- 6.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (55.5)
  • Prediction: Trojans 37 - Horned Frogs 25

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USC vs. TCU Moneylines

Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Trojans-Horned Frogs game.

  • USC Moneyline: -232
  • TCU Moneyline: +191

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USC Betting Insights

  • USC has won nine of the 10 games it was the moneyline favorite this season (90%).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -232 or shorter, USC has gone 7-1 (87.5%).
  • The Trojans and their opponents have scored more than 55.5 points in six of 12 games this season.
  • Trojans contests this year have an average total of 57.9, 2.4 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • The Trojans are the 21st-highest scoring team in college football this year. The Horned Frogs have scored the 54th-most points.

TCU Betting Insights

  • TCU has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
  • TCU has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +191 moneyline set for this game.
  • TCU has played eight games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 55.5 points.
  • TCU's games this year have had a 57.5-point total on average, 2.0 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Watch USC vs. TCU on Fubo.

Key Stats for USC vs. TCU

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Trojans have been a top-25 unit, ranking 10th-best in the FBS by averaging 471.6 yards per game. They rank 49th on defense (348.8 yards allowed per game).
  • On offense, USC has been a top-25 unit, ranking 12th-best in the FBS by putting up 36.5 points per game. The Trojans rank 48th on defense (22.4 points allowed per game).
  • The Horned Frogs' offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank 25th-best in the FBS with 425.3 total yards per game. In terms of defense, they are allowing 377.6 total yards per game, which ranks 70th.
  • With 30.8 points per game on offense, TCU ranks 39th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 71st, giving up 25.2 points per contest.

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