USC vs. Cal Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 11

The No. 21 USC Trojans (2-0) visit the California Golden Bears (2-1) at Haas Pavilion, starting at 11 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. The Trojans are 8.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's over/under is 161.5.

In its last game on Sunday, USC claimed a 93-86 victory over Wichita State. In USC's win, Rodney Rice led the way with a team-high 32 points (adding five rebounds and nine assists). Cal enters this matchup following an 86-68 loss to Houston on Sunday. Michael Cooper scored a team-high 19 points for Cal in the loss.

USC vs. Cal Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 11 p.m. ET
• Where: Haas Pavilion in Berkeley, California
• Spread favorite: USC -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: USC -375
• Moneyline underdog: Cal +283
• Over/Under: 161.5 points

How to watch USC vs. Cal

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: USC vs. Cal

• USC's games went over 161.5 points scored, its current matchup's total, 11 times (out of 31) last year.
• Cal played six games last season (19.4% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 161.5 points.
• These teams averaged a combined 156.8 points per game a season ago, 4.7 fewer points than the over/under of 161.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 151.2 points per game last season, 10.3 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
• The average point total in USC's games last year was 5.0 fewer points than the total of 161.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for Cal in 2025 was 10.0 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: USC vs. Cal

• USC went 13-18-0 ATS last season.
• The Trojans covered the spread five times last season (5-4 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
• Cal put together a 16-15-0 record against the spread last year.
• The Golden Bears covered the spread once when an underdog by 8.5 points or more last season (in four opportunities).
• At home last year, Cal was 15-4 overall and 8-11 against the spread.
• Cal was 5-6 ATS as a 8.5-point underdog or more at home last year.
• Away from home last season, USC was 5-6 overall and 5-6 against the spread.
• USC was winless ATS (0-1) as a 8.5-point favorite or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: USC vs. Cal

• USC finished with a 14-3 record in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 82.4% of those games).
• The Trojans won all nine games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -375 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives USC a 78.9% chance to win.
• Last season, Cal won five out of the 15 games, or 33.3%, in which it was the underdog.
• The Golden Bears were 1-3 last season when entering a game as an underdog by +283 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 26.1% chance of a victory for Cal.