UConn vs. Xavier Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 31

The No. 4 UConn Huskies (12-1, 2-0 Big East) visit the Xavier Musketeers (9-4, 1-1 Big East) at Cintas Center, starting at 5 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 31, 2025. The Huskies are 11.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under is set at 145.5 for the matchup.

UConn heads into this game following a 72-54 victory against DePaul on Sunday. Alex Karaban totaled 21 points, six rebounds and two assists for UConn. In its most recent matchup on Saturday, Xavier claimed an 80-77 victory against Georgetown. In Xavier's win, Tre Carroll led the team with 22 points (adding eight rebounds and four assists).

UConn vs. Xavier Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: Cintas Center in Cincinnati, Ohio
• Spread favorite: UConn -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: UConn -813
• Moneyline underdog: Xavier +555
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch UConn vs. Xavier

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UConn vs. Xavier

• UConn and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (145.5 points) four times this season.
• In Xavier's 13 games this season, nine finished with more combined points than Wednesday's total of 145.5.
• The over/under for the matchup of 145.5 is 9.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Huskies (78.5) and Musketeers (76.8).
• These two teams surrender a combined 135 points per game, 10.5 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for UConn's games is 139.5 points, 6.0 lower than the over/under of 145.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 5.3 points lower than the average over/under in Xavier's games this season (150.8 points).

Betting the Spread: UConn vs. Xavier

• UConn is 5-8-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Huskies have an ATS record of 3-5 in their eight games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Xavier is 7-6-0 this season.
• This year, the Musketeers are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 11.5 points or more.
• Xavier is 4-5 against the spread, and 7-2 overall, at home this season.
• Xavier has two wins ATS (2-3) as a 11.5-point underdog or more at home.
• UConn is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 11.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: UConn vs. Xavier

• UConn has been the moneyline favorite in 10 games this season and won nine (90%) of those contests.
• The Huskies have been at least a -813 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from UConn, based on the moneyline, is 89%.
• Xavier has been victorious in two of the four contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Musketeers have played as an underdog of +555 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Xavier has an implied victory probability of 15.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UConn vs. Xavier

• Pick ATS: UConn (- 11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)
  
• Prediction: UConn 75 - Xavier 59