UCF vs. FGCU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 20

The UCF Knights (9-1) host the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (5-6) at Addition Financial Arena, tipping off at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 20, 2025. The Eagles are 17.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has a point total of 159.5.

In its last game on Wednesday, UCF claimed an 81-63 win over Mercer. Jordan Burks' team-leading 17 points paced UCF in the victory. FGCU fell in its last outing 75-59 against New Mexico on Sunday. FGCU got a team-best nine points from Rory Stewart in the loss.

UCF vs. FGCU Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, Florida
• Spread favorite: UCF -17.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCF -2174
• Moneyline underdog: FGCU +1060
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch UCF vs. FGCU

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCF vs. FGCU

• This season, UCF's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 159.5-point over/under five times.
• This season, six of FGCU's games have finished with a combined score higher than 159.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 170.7 points per game, 11.2 points more than the point total of 159.5 for this contest.
• This game's total is 3.7 fewer points than the 155.8 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, UCF has seen a 161.2-point over/under in its games this season, 1.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 5.8 points lower than the average over/under in FGCU's games this season of 165.3.

Betting the Spread: UCF vs. FGCU

• Against the spread, UCF is 5-5-0 this year.
• The Knights have been favored by 17.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
• FGCU has played 10 games, with three wins against the spread.
• This season, the Eagles are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 17.5 points or more.
• UCF is 7-1 overall, and 3-5 against the spread, at home.
• UCF has one win ATS (1-1) as a 17.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Away from home, FGCU has only one win against the spread and are 1-3 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: UCF vs. FGCU

• This season, UCF has been listed as the moneyline favorite in seven games and won them all.
• The Knights have played as a favorite of -2174 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The implied probability of a win from UCF, based on the moneyline, is 95.6%.
• FGCU has been a moneyline underdog in five games this season and has come away with the win two times (40%) in those contests.
• The Eagles have played as an underdog of +1060 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies FGCU has an 8.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UCF vs. FGCU

• Pick ATS: UCF (- 17.5)
• Pick OU: Over (159.5)
  
• Prediction: UCF 96 - FGCU 70