Troy vs. Southern Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 1 seed Troy Trojans (20-11, 12-6 Sun Belt) are favored by 1.5 points in the Sun Belt Tournament against the No. 8 seed Southern Miss Golden Eagles (19-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) on Sunday at Pensacola Bay Center, beginning at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Troy enters this contest on the heels of an 80-65 victory over UL Monroe on Friday. In Troy's win, Thomas Dowd led the way with a team-high 22 points (adding 11 rebounds and two assists). In its last matchup on Saturday, Southern Miss claimed an 86-73 victory over Appalachian State. In Southern Miss' win, Tylik Weeks led the way with 28 points (adding three rebounds and two assists).

Troy vs. Southern Miss Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida
• Spread favorite: Troy -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -170
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Miss +142

How to watch Troy vs. Southern Miss

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. Southern Miss

• In Troy's 29 games this year, it has 15 wins against the spread.
• The Trojans have been favored by 1.5 points or more 21 times this season and are 9-12 ATS in those games.
• Southern Miss is 17-15-0 against the spread this season.
• The Golden Eagles have an ATS record of 13-10 in their 23 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more this season.
• Troy is 7-4 against the spread, and 8-3 overall, at home this season.
• As a 1.5-point favorite or greater at home, Troy is 6-4 ATS.
• Southern Miss is 4-11 overall, and 7-8 against the spread, on the road.
• Southern Miss is unbeaten ATS (2-0) on the road as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. Southern Miss

• Troy has won 13, or 61.9%, of the 21 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Trojans have a record of 12-6 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -170 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Troy has a 63% chance to win.
• Southern Miss has won in nine, or 39.1%, of the 23 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Golden Eagles have come away with a win four times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or longer on the moneyline.
• Southern Miss has an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.