Troy vs. South Alabama Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 3

The Troy Trojans (9-5, 2-0 Sun Belt) host the South Alabama Jaguars (11-4, 2-1 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena, tipping off at 4:33 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 3, 2026. The Jaguars are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's point total is 144.5.

Last time out, Troy won on Wednesday 100-80 over Texas State. Thomas Dowd scored a team-leading 22 points for Troy in the win. South Alabama enters this matchup on the heels of a 63-58 victory over Louisiana on Wednesday. Adam Olsen scored 26 points in South Alabama's win, leading the team.

Troy vs. South Alabama Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 4:33 p.m. ET
• Where: Trojan Arena in Troy, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Troy -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -341
• Moneyline underdog: South Alabama +270
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch Troy vs. South Alabama

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. South Alabama

• This season, seven of Troy's 12 games have gone over Saturday's total of 144.5 points.
• In South Alabama's 13 games this season, six finished with more combined points than Saturday's over/under of 144.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 163.2 points per game, 18.7 points more than the point total of 144.5 for this contest.
• This game's over/under is 2.0 fewer points than the 146.5 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Troy has a 167.2 average over/under in its games this season, 22.7 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 2.0 points more than the average over/under in South Alabama's games this season (142.5 points).

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. South Alabama

• Troy has seven wins against the spread in 12 games this year.
• The Trojans have covered the spread once this season when favored by 7.5 points or more (in three chances).
• South Alabama has played 13 games, with five wins against the spread.
• At home this year, Troy has two wins against the spread and is 2-1 overall.
• At home, Troy has one win ATS (1-1) as a 7.5-point favorite or more.
• South Alabama is 5-3 overall, and 4-4 against the spread, in away games.
• On the road, South Alabama is winless ATS (0-1) as 7.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. South Alabama

• Troy has won three of the six games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Trojans have entered three games this season favored by -341 or more and are 2-1 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 77.3% chance of a victory for Troy.
• South Alabama has been victorious in three of the six contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Jaguars this season with a +270 moneyline set for this game.
• South Alabama has an implied victory probability of 27% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.