Texas vs. Virginia Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 3

The Texas Longhorns (6-2) play the Virginia Cavaliers (6-1) as only 2.5-point favorites on Wednesday, December 3, 2025 at 9:15 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.

Last time out, Texas won on Wednesday 102-97 over NC State. In the victory, Jordan Pope paced Texas with 28 points. Virginia's last game on Friday ended in a 94-69 victory over Queens. Thijs De Ridder scored a team-leading 21 points for Virginia in the victory.

Texas vs. Virginia Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, December 3, 2025 at 9:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Moody Center in Austin, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas -161
• Moneyline underdog: Virginia +136
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch Texas vs. Virginia

• TV Channel: ESPN U
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas vs. Virginia

• This season, Texas' games have gone over this game's 154.5-point over/under five times.
• In Virginia's seven games this season, three finished with more combined points than Wednesday's total of 154.5.
• The total for the game of 154.5 is 24.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Longhorns (90.9 points per game) and the Cavaliers (87.6 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 139.5 points per game, 15.0 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Texas' games is 162.8 points, 8.3 more than the total of 154.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 0.6 points lower than the average over/under in Virginia's games this season (155.1 points).

Betting the Spread: Texas vs. Virginia

• Texas is 5-3-0 against the spread this season.
• The Longhorns have been favored by 2.5 points or more six times this season and are 4-2 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, Virginia is 4-3-0 this season.
• Texas is 3-1 against the spread, and 4-0 overall, at home.
• This season, as a 2.5-point favorite or more at home, Texas is 3-1 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas vs. Virginia

• Texas has been the moneyline favorite in four games this season and won three (75%) of those contests.
• This season, the Longhorns have won three of their four games when favored by at least -161 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Texas has a 61.7% chance to win.
• Virginia has yet to play a game this season while posted as the moneyline underdog.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Cavaliers this season with a +136 moneyline set for this game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Virginia has a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Texas vs. Virginia

• Pick ATS: Virginia (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (154.5)
  
• Prediction: Virginia 81 - Texas 80