Texas State vs. Southern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 10

The Texas State Bobcats (6-5) square off against the Southern Jaguars (4-5) as just 2.5-point favorites on Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 141 points.

Texas State lost its most recent outing 77-72 against Rice on Wednesday. Mark Drone scored a team-best 23 points for Texas State in the loss. Southern heads into this contest on the heels of a 95-69 loss to Texas on Monday. Southern got a team-leading 17 points from Malek Abdelgowad in the loss.

Texas State vs. Southern Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas State -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas State -161
• Moneyline underdog: Southern +136
• Over/Under: 141 points

How to watch Texas State vs. Southern

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas State vs. Southern

• This season, Texas State's games have hit the over on this matchup's 141-point over/under five times.
• Every game featuring Southern this season has finished with more combined scoring than Wednesday's point total of 141 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 163.2 points per game, 22.2 points more than the total of 141 for this matchup.
• These two teams give up a combined 145.4 points per game, 4.4 more than this contest's over/under.
• Texas State has seen a 139 average over/under in its games this season, two less than the over/under in this contest.
• Southern's games have an average over/under of 169.6 points this season, 28.6 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Texas State vs. Southern

• Texas State is 5-4-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Bobcats have an ATS record of 3-1 in their four games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
• Southern has covered the spread on two occasions this year.
• This year, the Jaguars have just two against the spread wins in five games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• Texas State is unbeaten against the spread, and 4-0 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Texas State is 3-0 ATS as a 2.5-point favorite or more.
• Southern has two wins against the spread, and are 1-5 overall, on the road.
• Southern is winless ATS (0-1) as 2.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas State vs. Southern

• Texas State has won four of the five games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bobcats have a record of 2-1 when favored by -161 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for Texas State.
• Southern has been posted as the moneyline underdog five times this season but has yet walk away from any of those games with an upset.
• The Jaguars have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +136 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Southern has a 42.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Texas State vs. Southern

• Pick ATS: Southern (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141)
  
• Prediction: Southern 75 - Texas State 74