Texas State vs. Little Rock Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 21

The Texas State Bobcats (4-2) take on the Little Rock Trojans (2-3) as 4.5-point favorites on Friday, November 21, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 136.5 points.

Texas State is coming off of a 63-49 win against Abilene Christian in its most recent game on Tuesday. Dimp Pernell's team-high 13 points led Texas State in the win. Little Rock enters this contest following an 89-68 loss to Murray State on Tuesday. Johnathan Lawson totaled 17 points, six rebounds and five assists for Little Rock.

Texas State vs. Little Rock Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 21, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas State -195
• Moneyline underdog: Little Rock +160
• Over/Under: 136.5 points

How to watch Texas State vs. Little Rock

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas State vs. Little Rock

• Texas State and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Friday's total of 136.5 points three times this season.
• This season, three of Little Rock's games have ended with a combined score higher than 136.5 points.
• The point total for the contest of 136.5 is 8.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bobcats (75.5) and Trojans (69.8).
• This matchup's over/under is 9.5 fewer points than the 146 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Texas State has a 142.5 average over/under in its games this season, 6.0 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Little Rock's games have an average over/under of 148.8 points this season, 12.3 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Texas State vs. Little Rock

• Texas State has four wins against the spread in five games this year.
• So far this season Little Rock has one win against the spread.
• The Trojans have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more two times this season and have not covered the spread once.
• At home this season, Texas State is 3-0 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
• Little Rock is 1-3 overall, with only one win against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas State vs. Little Rock

• Texas State has been listed as the moneyline favorite three times this season and has won all of those games.
• The Bobcats have played as a favorite of -195 or more once this season and won that game.
• Texas State has a 66.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Little Rock has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in four games this year and has walked away with the win one time (25%) in those games.
• The Trojans have been listed as an underdog of +160 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Little Rock has an implied victory probability of 38.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.