Texas vs. NC State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - First Four

The Texas Longhorns (18-14) are a 1.5-point favorite to earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament Round of 64 bracket when they square off against the NC State Wolfpack (20-13) in a First Four matchup on Tuesday at UD Arena, starting at 9:15 p.m. ET on truTV. The matchup has a point total of 158.5.

In its last game on Wednesday, Texas suffered a 76-66 loss to Ole Miss. Dailyn Swain put up 22 points, 12 rebounds and four assists for Texas. NC State is coming off of an 81-74 loss to Virginia in its most recent outing on Thursday. Paul McNeil's team-leading 26 points paced NC State in the loss.

Texas vs. NC State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 17, 2026 at 9:15 p.m. ET
• Where: UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Texas -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas -112
• Moneyline underdog: NC State -110
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Texas vs. NC State

• TV Channel: truTV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas vs. NC State

• This season, Texas and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's total of 158.5 points 15 times.
• A total of 14 of NC State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 158.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 158.5 is 9.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Longhorns (83.8) and Wolfpack (83.7).
• The 153.3 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 5.2 fewer than the 158.5 over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Texas' games is 160.6 points, 2.1 more than the total of 158.5 points set for this contest.
• NC State's games have an average over/under of 160.2 points this season, 1.7 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Texas vs. NC State

• Texas has played 32 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• The Longhorns have been favored by 1.5 points or more 19 times this season and are 9-10 ATS in those contests.
• Against the spread, NC State is 15-18-0 this season.
• This season, the Wolfpack have just one ATS win in six games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• NC State is 8-9 against the spread, and 11-6 overall, at home this year.
• At home, NC State is 8-8 ATS as a 1.5-point underdog or greater.
• In away games, Texas is 7-3 against the spread, and 4-6 overall.
• Away from home, Texas is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas vs. NC State

• This season, Texas has won 10 out of the 16 games, or 62.5%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Longhorns have entered 16 games this season favored by -112 or more and are 10-6 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from Texas, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
• NC State has won in one of the six contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Wolfpack have a win-loss record of 1-5 with odds of -110 or worse this year.
• NC State has an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.