Texas vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 3

The Texas Longhorns (9-4, 0-0 SEC) take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-5, 0-0 SEC) as 10.5-point favorites on Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The over/under is 156.5 for the matchup.

In its last matchup on Monday, Texas earned a 94-71 win over Maryland-Eastern Shore. In Texas' win, Matas Vokietaitis led the way with a team-high 22 points (adding eight rebounds and zero assists). Mississippi State enters this contest on the heels of a 94-56 win against Alabama State on Monday. Josh Hubbard's team-high 22 points paced Mississippi State in the victory.

Texas vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Moody Center in Austin, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas -690
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State +480
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch Texas vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas vs. Mississippi State

• Eight of Texas' games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 156.5 points.
• This season, seven of Mississippi State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 156.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 167.8 points per game, 11.3 points more than the over/under of 156.5 for this matchup.
• This game's total is 9.4 fewer points than the 147.1 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Texas has seen a 159.2 average over/under in its games this season, 2.7 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 0.7 points higher than the average over/under in Mississippi State's games this season of 155.8.

Betting the Spread: Texas vs. Mississippi State

• Texas is 8-5-0 against the spread this season.
• The Longhorns have been favored by 10.5 points or more eight times this season and are 6-2 ATS in those matchups.
• Mississippi State is 4-9-0 against the spread this year.
• Texas is 7-1 overall, and 5-3 against the spread, at home.
• As a 10.5-point favorite or more at home, Texas is 5-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas vs. Mississippi State

• This season, Texas has been moneyline favorites seven times and won five of those games.
• The Longhorns are undefeated in five games this season when favored by -690 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Texas, based on the moneyline, is 87.3%.
• Mississippi State was defeated in the one game it played as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Bulldogs this season with a +480 moneyline set for this game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 17.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.