Tarleton State vs. Cal Baptist Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 3

The Tarleton State Texans (10-5, 1-1 WAC) host the Cal Baptist Lancers (10-5, 0-2 WAC) at EECU Center, starting at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 3, 2026. The Lancers are 2.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 144.5.

Last time out, Tarleton State lost 91-85 to Utah Valley on Thursday. In Tarleton State's loss, Dior Johnson led the way with a team-high 36 points (adding two rebounds and zero assists). Cal Baptist is coming off of a 63-51 loss to UT Arlington in its most recent outing on Thursday. Dominique Daniels Jr.'s team-high 25 points paced Cal Baptist in the losing effort.

Tarleton State vs. Cal Baptist Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: EECU Center in Stephenville, Texas
• Spread favorite: Tarleton State -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Tarleton State -152
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Baptist +127
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch Tarleton State vs. Cal Baptist

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Tarleton State vs. Cal Baptist

• This season, seven of Tarleton State's 11 games have gone over Saturday's over/under of 144.5 points.
• This season, five games Cal Baptist has played finished with a combined score higher than 144.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 153.2 points per game, 8.7 points more than the point total of 144.5 for this contest.
• These two teams surrender a combined 142 points per game, 2.5 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Tarleton State's games is 151.8 points, 7.3 more than the total of 144.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 1.1 points more than the average over/under in Cal Baptist's games this season (143.4 points).

Betting the Spread: Tarleton State vs. Cal Baptist

• In Tarleton State's 11 games this season, it has nine wins against the spread.
• The Texans have an against the spread record of 4-0 in their four games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more so far this season.
• Cal Baptist is 8-7-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Lancers have an against-the-spread record of 4-1 in their five games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• At home this year, Tarleton State is 3-1 overall and 3-1 against the spread.
• This season, as a 2.5-point favorite or greater at home, Tarleton State is 3-0 ATS.
• Cal Baptist is 3-4 overall, and 6-1 against the spread, in away games.
• Cal Baptist has one win ATS (1-1) away from home as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Tarleton State vs. Cal Baptist

• Tarleton State has been the moneyline favorite in four games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
• The Texans are undefeated in four games this season when favored by -152 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Tarleton State, based on the moneyline, is 60.3%.
• Cal Baptist has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in six games this year and has walked away with the win two times (33.3%) in those games.
• The Lancers have a mark of 1-4 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +127 or worse on the moneyline.
• Cal Baptist has an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.